Houston @ Texas picks

We cashed the Under in this matchup yesterday, so right back to the well we go. Nathan Eovaldi has been solid this year, posting a 4-2 record with a 1.78 ERA. The Astros will struggle to generate any offense. As for Lance McCullers, he got shelled last time out, but that was his first start of the season. He will be better in this one. 

The Texas Rangers have played to the Under (14-30-1 O/U), especially at Globe Life Field (5-19 O/U). They’re 1-7-1 O/U with Nathan Eovaldi on the bump, and all three of his starts at home went Under the total. Both arm barns are well-rested after Thursday’s pitcher’s duel between Jacob deGrom and Hunter Brown, in which both starters lasted eight innings in a 1-0 game. 

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Extreme groundball bats like Isaac Paredes tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.. The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.. In the last two weeks, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 26.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 18°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. Wyatt Langford has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.1% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past 7 days.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Joc Pederson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Lance McCullers Jr. throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Josh Jung will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.. Josh Jung has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal mark of 95.9-mph.. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 16.8% to 21.5%.

Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Lance McCullers Jr. throws from, Evan Carter will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Evan Carter will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Evan Carter has been hot lately, compiling a a 27.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) in the last 7 days.. Evan Carter has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, striking balls between 23° and 34° 27.3% of the time in the past week's worth of games.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Extreme groundball bats like Isaac Paredes tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.. The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.. In the last two weeks, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 26.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 18°.

When estimating his home run skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Jake Burger has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 99.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 90.6-mph EV.. Despite posting a .276 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Burger has been unlucky given the .065 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .341.

Zachary Dezenzo's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.. Over the last 14 days, Zachary Dezenzo has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 15.6% to 26.3%.. Zachary Dezenzo has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.7-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.1-mph average.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Joc Pederson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Lance McCullers Jr. throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. Wyatt Langford has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.1% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past 7 days.