St. Louis @ Kansas City picks
Kauffman Stadium
STL vs KC Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown

Cole Ragans u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115)
Projection 6.4 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-worst stadium in the game for strikeouts.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Cole Ragans's four-seamer usage has spiked by 6.8% from last season to this one (41.8% to 48.6%) .. Cole Ragans has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 14.39 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 11.71 — a 2.67 K/9 difference.
Total RBIs

Masyn Winn o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Masyn Winn is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Masyn Winn will have an edge today.
Total RBIs

Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Willson Contreras will hold the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans in today's game.
Total RBIs

Brendan Donovan o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Compared to last year, Brendan Donovan has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 45.8% to 56.9% this season.
Total Bases

Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Lars Nootbaar has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.2-mph.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Lars Nootbaar has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.2-mph.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Victor Scott II o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.
Total Bases

Brendan Donovan o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Compared to last year, Brendan Donovan has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 45.8% to 56.9% this season.
Outs Recorded

Cole Ragans u17.5 Outs Recorded (-105)
Projection 16.6 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Cole Ragans's four-seamer usage has spiked by 6.8% from last season to this one (41.8% to 48.6%) .
Total Bases

Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage over Andre Pallante today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Vinnie Pasquantino will hold that advantage today.