Colorado @ Arizona Picks & Props

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences in MLB. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against German Marquez today. Corbin Carroll's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 44.7% on the season to 28.6% in the past 7 days. Corbin Carroll has been lucky this year, compiling a .407 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .359 — a .048 difference. Corbin Carroll has put up a .262 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 15th percentile.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences in MLB. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 92.1-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 87.1-mph in the past week. Sporting a 3.76 K/BB rate this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has displayed weak plate discipline, checking in at the 23rd percentile. Sporting a .213 BABIP this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is positioned in the 4th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Compared to last year, Jacob Stallings has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 45.8% to 58.5% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael Toglia has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.2% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past two weeks. In the last 7 days, Michael Toglia's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.6-mph over the course of the season to 101.8-mph in recent games.

Ketel Marte hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest CF fences today. From last year to this one, Ketel Marte's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 43.5% to 33.3%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.339) suggests that Ketel Marte has had some very good luck this year with his .389 actual wOBA.

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage over Corbin Burnes today.

Jordan Beck is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jordan Beck has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.6% rate last year to 16.7% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nick Martini will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes today. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nick Martini has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Adael Amador has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the past week. Adael Amador has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 85.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). German Marquez will have the handedness advantage against Gabriel Moreno in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Brenton Doyle is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Burnes today. Mickey Moniak has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). German Marquez will hold the platoon advantage against Tim Tawa today. Tim Tawa will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hunter Goodman has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.7-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alan Trejo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 11.8% on the season to 18.2% in the past 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.228) provides evidence that Alan Trejo has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .163 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Geraldo Perdomo will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 88.1-mph EV.

Alek Thomas's batting average talent is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Extreme groundball hitters like Alek Thomas tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Carson Palmquist.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Pavin Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Randal Grichuk will not have the upper hand in today's game.