Colorado @ Arizona picks
Chase Field
COL vs AZ Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Extreme flyball batters like Ezequiel Tovar tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Corbin Burnes.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Michael Toglia o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Michael Toglia has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.2% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past two weeks.. In the last 7 days, Michael Toglia's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.6-mph over the course of the season to 101.8-mph in recent games.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Extreme flyball batters like Ezequiel Tovar tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Corbin Burnes.
Total Bases

Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (-125)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ketel Marte projects as the 12th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Alan Trejo o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Alan Trejo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 11.8% on the season to 18.2% in the past 7 days.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.228) provides evidence that Alan Trejo has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .163 actual wOBA.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ryan McMahon o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage over Corbin Burnes today.
Total Bases

Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Extreme flyball batters like Ezequiel Tovar tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Corbin Burnes.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jacob Stallings o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Compared to last year, Jacob Stallings has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 45.8% to 58.5% this season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Adael Amador o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Adael Amador has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the past week.. Adael Amador has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 85.8-mph.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nick Martini o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Nick Martini will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes today.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nick Martini has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.