Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia picks
Citizens Bank Park
PIT vs PHI Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%.. Among every team playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.
Total RBIs

Andrew McCutchen o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%.. Andrew McCutchen will hold the platoon advantage over Ranger Suarez in today's game.. Andrew McCutchen pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Joey Bart o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Joey Bart's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Joey Bart is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%.. Joey Bart will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today.. Joey Bart pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 4th-best home run batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%.. Kyle Schwarber will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Weston Wilson o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%.. Weston Wilson will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Heaney in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Weston Wilson will hold that advantage today.. By putting up a .356 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Weston Wilson is positioned in the 95th percentile for offensive ability.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Joey Bart o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Joey Bart's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Joey Bart is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%.. Joey Bart will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today.. Joey Bart pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Gorski o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%.. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Matt Gorski will have the upper hand in today's game.. Among every team playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.. Matt Gorski has been hot lately, posting a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) over the last two weeks.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 4th-best home run batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%.. Kyle Schwarber will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases

J.T. Realmuto o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%.. J.T. Realmuto will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Heaney in today's game.
Total Bases

Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%.. Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage in today's matchup.