Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Isiah Kiner-Falefa is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have an edge in today's matchup.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #24 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 91.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 83.2-mph in the past 7 days. Compared to his seasonal mark of 17.8°, Nick Castellanos has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9.6°) in the last 14 days.

Alec Bohm is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #24 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Alec Bohm's launch angle this year (6.7°) is considerably lower than his 10° mark last year.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #24 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Compared to his seasonal angle of 7.1°, Trea Turner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.4°) in the past two weeks. Trea Turner's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (5.6°) is considerably worse than his 9.7° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. Andrew McCutchen will hold the platoon advantage over Ranger Suarez in today's game. Andrew McCutchen pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Heaney today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. Among every team playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 18th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. Kyle Schwarber will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. J.T. Realmuto will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Heaney in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ke'Bryan Hayes is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold the platoon advantage over Ranger Suarez today.

Joey Bart's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Bart is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. Joey Bart will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. Joey Bart pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Johan Rojas will have an advantage in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Johan Rojas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Heaney. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. Tommy Pham will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. Among every team playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Despite posting a .219 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tommy Pham has had some very poor luck given the .086 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.

Alexander Canario is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Alexander Canario will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. Weston Wilson will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Heaney in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Weston Wilson will hold that advantage today. By putting up a .356 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Weston Wilson is positioned in the 95th percentile for offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Jared Triolo will have an advantage in today's game. Among every team playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Matt Gorski will have the upper hand in today's game. Among every team playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Matt Gorski has been hot lately, posting a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) over the last two weeks.