Final Jun 18
BOS 3 -119 o6.5
SEA 1 +110 u6.5
Final Jun 18
PHI 4 -186 o8.5
MIA 2 +170 u8.5
Final Jun 18
COL 3 +139 o9.5
WAS 1 -151 u9.5
Final Jun 18
LAA 3 +221 o9.5
NYY 2 -246 u9.5
Final Jun 18
AZ 1 +104 o8.5
TOR 8 -112 u8.5
Final Jun 18
MIN 2 +113 o9.0
CIN 4 -122 u9.0
Final Jun 18
NYM 0 +178 o7.5
ATL 5 -196 u7.5
Final Jun 18
BAL 8 +108 o9.0
TB 12 -116 u9.0
Final Jun 18
KC 6 -131 o8.0
TEX 3 +121 u8.0
Final Jun 18
CLE 4 +141 o8.5
SF 2 -153 u8.5
Final Jun 18
HOU 11 -173 o9.5
ATH 4 +158 u9.5
Final Jun 18
SD 3 +163 o9.5
LAD 4 -178 u9.5

St. Louis @ Philadelphia picks

Citizens Bank Park

STL vs PHI Picks

MLB Picks
Earned Runs Allowed
Matthew Liberatore logo Matthew Liberatore u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+116)
Best Odds
u2.5 +120 DraftKings
Pick made: one month ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
u2.5  +120
 -
 -
u2.5  +105
u2.5  +108
 -

I have never really taken advantage of fading Sunday Night Baseball teams on Monday but I’m aware that some believe it is a thing. That makes tonight a great spot to back Matthew Liberatore, who has pitched great for the St. Louis Cardinals and gets a traveling Philadelphia Phillies team fresh off a low-scoring SNB game. Liberatore has allowed two or fewer runs in five straight starts and doesn’t project for a pitch count north of 90 pitches. He’s pitching to a 3.07 ERA but might be even better with a 2.79 xERA. He has been a solid pitcher and the plus money on this prop with his potential leash is a buy for our MLB picks.

Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u1.5 Total Bases (-165)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 +125 DraftKings
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +125
u1.5  -165
 -
u0.5  +125
u1.5  -222
 -
The #7 stadium in the game for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense.. Matthew Liberatore will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Schwarber today.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.2) provides evidence that Kyle Schwarber has been lucky this year with his 41.4 actual HR/600.
Total Bases
Edmundo Sosa logo
Edmundo Sosa u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 +140 DraftKings
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +140
u1.5  -190
 -
u0.5  +140
u1.5  -200
 -
Edmundo Sosa is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense.. Edmundo Sosa has struggled with his Barrel%; his 8.7% rate last season has lowered to 3% this season.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.243) implies that Edmundo Sosa has been lucky since the start of last season with his .269 actual batting average.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Victor Scott II logo
Victor Scott II o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -160 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  -170
 -
 -
o0.5  -160
 -
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According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Victor Scott II has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of every team playing today, the 10th-weakest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.. Victor Scott II's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 21% on the season to 25% in the last 14 days.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +125 bet365
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +115
o1.5  +125
 -
o1.5  +120
o1.5  +116
o1.5  +106
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-115)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 -115 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  -120
 -
 -
o1.5  -115
 -
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The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors's 4th-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

STL vs PHI Consensus Picks

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Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

70% picking Philadelphia

30%
70%

Total PicksSTL 245, PHI 568

Moneyline
STL
PHI
Moneyline

STL vs PHI Top User Picks

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User Picks

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