St. Louis @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. In the past week's worth of games, Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 92.8 mph to 89.3 mph.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Victor Scott II has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 10th-weakest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Victor Scott II's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 21% on the season to 25% in the last 14 days.

Alec Bohm is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. There has been a significant decline in Alec Bohm's launch angle from last season's 10° to 6.8° this year. By putting up a .259 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Alec Bohm is ranked in the 15th percentile.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. Trea Turner's launch angle in recent games (1.7° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 7.7° seasonal figure. Trea Turner's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (5.2°) is significantly worse than his 9.7° mark last season. When it comes to his batting average, Trea Turner has experienced some positive variance this year. His .318 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .272.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brendan Donovan has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Bryce Harper is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Masyn Winn is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Masyn Winn will have an edge today.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Nolan Arenado will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Jordan Walker will have an edge in today's matchup.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 18th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Pedro Pages will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 10th-weakest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ivan Herrera will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Liberatore today.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Johan Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's game. Johan Rojas will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Weston Wilson will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Weston Wilson will hold that advantage today.

Jose Barrero has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.