St. Louis @ Philadelphia picks

I have never really taken advantage of fading Sunday Night Baseball teams on Monday but I’m aware that some believe it is a thing. That makes tonight a great spot to back Matthew Liberatore, who has pitched great for the St. Louis Cardinals and gets a traveling Philadelphia Phillies team fresh off a low-scoring SNB game. Liberatore has allowed two or fewer runs in five straight starts and doesn’t project for a pitch count north of 90 pitches. He’s pitching to a 3.07 ERA but might be even better with a 2.79 xERA. He has been a solid pitcher and the plus money on this prop with his potential leash is a buy for our MLB picks.

The #7 stadium in the game for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense.. Matthew Liberatore will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Schwarber today.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.2) provides evidence that Kyle Schwarber has been lucky this year with his 41.4 actual HR/600.

Edmundo Sosa is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense.. Edmundo Sosa has struggled with his Barrel%; his 8.7% rate last season has lowered to 3% this season.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.243) implies that Edmundo Sosa has been lucky since the start of last season with his .269 actual batting average.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Victor Scott II has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of every team playing today, the 10th-weakest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.. Victor Scott II's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 21% on the season to 25% in the last 14 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors's 4th-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.