Atlanta @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

Dingers are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest among all parks. Carmen Mlodzinski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Mlodzinski's large platoon split. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Austin Riley today. Austin Riley has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 17.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 5.3% over the last two weeks. By putting up a 5.34 K/BB rate this year, Austin Riley has displayed weak plate discipline, placing in the 11th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage in today's game.

PNC Park projects as the #9 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage over Carmen Mlodzinski in today's matchup... and even better, Mlodzinski has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. PNC Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Michael Harris II will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Michael Harris II has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 94.1-mph in the past 7 days.

PNC Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Bats such as Ozzie Albies with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Carmen Mlodzinski who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Ozzie Albies has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 88.6-mph in the last two weeks. Ozzie Albies's launch angle this year (21.8°) is considerably higher than his 18.2° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Joey Bart is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park projects as the #9 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Because of Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Joey Bart will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.

PNC Park projects as the #9 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Because of Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Tommy Pham will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Tommy Pham tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Chris Sale. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Tommy Pham will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. PNC Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Matt Olson will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park projects as the #9 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Considering Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Andrew McCutchen will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. PNC Park projects as the #9 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 98th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .386.

PNC Park projects as the #9 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Liover Peguero will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today... and moreover, Sale has a huge platoon split. Bats such as Liover Peguero with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Chris Sale who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Liover Peguero will hold that advantage today.

Drake Baldwin is penciled in 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. PNC Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Because of Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Drake Baldwin will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Drake Baldwin has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.5-mph to 97.1-mph over the past 7 days.

Bryan Reynolds's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. PNC Park projects as the #9 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage today.

Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. PNC Park projects as the #9 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Because of Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Ke'Bryan Hayes will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. PNC Park projects as the #9 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Jared Triolo will have the handedness advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and moreover, Sale has a huge platoon split. Jared Triolo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

PNC Park projects as the #9 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Alexander Canario will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Sale has a huge platoon split. Alexander Canario will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Alexander Canario has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .273 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .329.

Matt Gorski has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park projects as the #9 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Given Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Matt Gorski will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Gorski will hold that advantage today.

Henry Davis has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.