Atlanta @ Pittsburgh picks
PNC Park
ATL vs PIT Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Olson projects as the 17th-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. PNC Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Matt Olson will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. This season, Matt Olson has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98.4 mph compared to last year's 94 mph mark.
Total RBIs

Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Austin Riley as baseball's 15th-best home run batter.. Austin Riley is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. PNC Park projects as the #9 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Austin Riley's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (18.7° over the past week) is significantly higher than his 15.4° seasonal figure.. Austin Riley has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 27.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 33.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs

Joey Bart o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Joey Bart ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Joey Bart is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. PNC Park projects as the #9 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Because of Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Joey Bart will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Joey Bart will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
PNC Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Bats such as Ozzie Albies with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Carmen Mlodzinski who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Ozzie Albies has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 88.6-mph in the last two weeks.. Ozzie Albies's launch angle this year (21.8°) is considerably higher than his 18.2° angle last year.. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 18.3% on the season to 31.3% in the last week.
Total RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. PNC Park projects as the #9 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 98th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .386.
Outs Recorded

Carmen Mlodzinski u14.5 Outs Recorded (+125)
Projection 13.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Carmen Mlodzinski is projected to throw 79 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate today.. It may be sensible to expect better results for the Atlanta Braves offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.. PNC Park projects as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Carmen Mlodzinski's fastball spin rate has dropped 175 rpm this season (2114 rpm) below where it was last year (2289 rpm).
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Oneil Cruz o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 9th-best home run batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. PNC Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage in today's game.. Oneil Cruz has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 15.7% rate last year to 22.9% this season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Olson o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Olson projects as the 17th-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. PNC Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Matt Olson will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. This season, Matt Olson has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98.4 mph compared to last year's 94 mph mark.
Total Bases

Alex Verdugo o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. PNC Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage over Carmen Mlodzinski in today's matchup... and even better, Mlodzinski has a large platoon split.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Andrew McCutchen o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #9 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Considering Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Andrew McCutchen will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.