San Francisco @ Minnesota picks
Target Field
SF vs MIN Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Willy Adames is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Extreme flyball batters like Willy Adames tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Pablo Lopez.
Total RBIs

Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Chapman projects as the 7th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Wilmer Flores o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Wilmer Flores is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Extreme flyball bats like Wilmer Flores are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Pablo Lopez.
Total RBIs

Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Byron Buxton projects as the 13th-best home run batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Extreme flyball batters like Byron Buxton tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Landen Roupp.
Total Bases

Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Chapman projects as the 7th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Outs Recorded

Pablo Lopez u17.5 Outs Recorded (+135)
Projection 17.2 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Quinn Wolcott profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping in this game.. Target Field ranks as the #4 venue in the majors for BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Given that groundball hitters have a sizeable edge over flyball pitchers, Pablo Lopez and his 46.7% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough position in today's game squaring off against 4 opposing GB batters.. Pablo Lopez's 93.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1.1-mph fall off from last season's 95-mph mark.
Total Bases

Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Willy Adames is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Extreme flyball batters like Willy Adames tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Pablo Lopez.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Chapman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Chapman projects as the 7th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Luis Matos o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Barrel% of Luis Matos has significantly improved, with an increase from 3.9% last year to 9.1% this year.
Total Bases

Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Byron Buxton projects as the 13th-best home run batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Extreme flyball batters like Byron Buxton tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Landen Roupp.