Boston @ Kansas City picks
Kauffman Stadium
BOS vs KC Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Total RBIs

Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Rafael Devers has made significant gains with his Barrel%, upping his 13.1% rate last season to 19.8% this season.
Total RBIs

Kristian Campbell o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his BABIP ability, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kristian Campbell has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Kristian Campbell will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs

Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his batting average ability, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bobby Witt Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup.
Outs Recorded

Cole Ragans u17.5 Outs Recorded (+135)
Projection 17.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the best park in MLB for walks.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Cole Ragans's four-seamer usage has jumped by 7.2% from last season to this one (41.8% to 49%) .. The 11.5% Barrel% of the Boston Red Sox grades them out as the #2 offense in MLB this year by this stat.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Vinnie Pasquantino will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Vinnie Pasquantino has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 10.3% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games.. Vinnie Pasquantino has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.7-mph EV.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Rafael Devers o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Rafael Devers has made significant gains with his Barrel%, upping his 13.1% rate last season to 19.8% this season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans in today's matchup.. Ceddanne Rafaela has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 13% seasonal rate to 20.6% over the last 14 days.. Ceddanne Rafaela has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 96.2-mph in the last two weeks.
Outs Recorded

Garrett Crochet u17.5 Outs Recorded (+120)
Projection 17.3 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The Kansas City Royals have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the best park in MLB for walks.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Kansas City Royals have 8 batters in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game.
Total Bases

Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Salvador Perez will have an advantage in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Alex Bregman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Alex Bregman will hold the platoon advantage over Cole Ragans in today's game.