Los Angeles @ Arizona picks
Chase Field
LAD vs AZ Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown

Corbin Burnes u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+112)
Projection 4.4 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Chase Field grades out as the #28 ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Because flyball batters have a substantial advantage over groundball pitchers, Corbin Burnes and his 46.1% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome spot in today's matchup matching up with 3 opposing GB batters.. Among all starters, Corbin Burnes's fastball spin rate of 1805 rpm is in the 4th percentile since the start of last season.
Total RBIs

Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Mookie Betts ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.
Total RBIs

Pavin Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Pavin Smith ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pavin Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the game for lefty batting average.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Because of Dustin May's huge platoon split, Pavin Smith will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the league.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the game for lefty batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.
Total RBIs

Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 9th-best batter in the majors when estimating his batting average skill.. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the game for lefty batting average.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Freddie Freeman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.1% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the past week.
Total RBIs

Max Muncy o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the game for lefty batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Max Muncy will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the game for lefty batting average.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the game for lefty batting average.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Given Dustin May's huge platoon split, Corbin Carroll will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.
Outs Recorded

Corbin Burnes u17.5 Outs Recorded (-125)
Projection 14.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The #3 venue in the game for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Because flyball batters have a substantial advantage over groundball pitchers, Corbin Burnes and his 46.1% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome spot in today's matchup matching up with 3 opposing GB batters.. Among all starters, Corbin Burnes's fastball spin rate of 1805 rpm is in the 4th percentile since the start of last season.. Corbin Burnes has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his ERA this year; his 3.58 figure is quite a bit lower than his 5.22 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).