Atlanta @ Pittsburgh picks

Atlanta will face Pittsburgh Pirates starter Bailey Falter tonight — who, along with a 5.06 ERA, has given up six homers in just seven starts. Riley is just 2-for-9 against him, but Falter has also surrendered three bombs in each of his last three outings. Considering 60.4% of Falter’s outs are fly balls, it’s only a matter of time until Riley gets one to leave the ballpark.

When it comes to his home run ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as Major League Baseball's 11th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as the league's 17th-best home run batter.. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Matt Olson has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last year's 91.3-mph EV.

Austin Riley projects as the 14th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Austin Riley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup.

As it relates to his home run skill, Joey Bart ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Joey Bart is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Joey Bart has big-time power (77th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (27.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bryce Elder is a pitch-to-contact type (20th percentile K%) — great news for Bart.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as the league's 17th-best home run batter.. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Matt Olson has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last year's 91.3-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Despite posting a .256 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Harris II has had some very poor luck given the .073 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as the league's 17th-best home run batter.. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Matt Olson has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last year's 91.3-mph EV.

When it comes to his home run ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.