Atlanta @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

Ozzie Albies's BABIP skill is projected in the 15th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 3rd-lowest level of the day at 58°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Typically, hitters like Ozzie Albies who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Bailey Falter. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ozzie Albies in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Despite posting a .256 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Harris II has had some very poor luck given the .073 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Joey Bart is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Matt Gorski will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Matt Gorski is quite toolsy, grading out in the 79th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.25 ft/sec this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Stuart Fairchild will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Stuart Fairchild's 20.9° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the league: 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the majors. Austin Riley is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Sean Murphy will have an advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Nick Allen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Nick Allen are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Falter.

PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.2°, Enmanuel Valdez has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 19.3° figure over the past two weeks. The standard deviation of Enmanuel Valdez's launch angle has been very consistent lately (36° in the past two weeks' worth of games), which is an indicator of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Tommy Pham will hold that advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tommy Pham's true offensive ability to be a .304, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .085 disparity between that mark and his actual .219 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Alexander Canario will hold that advantage in today's game. Alexander Canario's speed has improved this season. His 27.18 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.84 ft/sec now.

PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Elder in today's game. Adam Frazier will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.