Texas @ Boston picks
Fenway Park
TEX vs BOS Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Boston Red Sox offense has thrived this season, and Alex Bregman has led the way. The third baseman is doing what he does best: mashing baseballs. He’s hitting .327 with nine homers, 15 doubles, and 30 RBI. Bregman ranks Top 10 in the Majors in the latter category. The veteran was 3-for-4 on Wednesday with three RBI, and he’s cashed the Over in five of his last eight contests. Bregman is nearly averaging one RBI per game, and 18 of his 30 RBIs have come at Fenway Park. Bregman has six of them in May already.
Total RBIs

Joc Pederson o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Joc Pederson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. This game is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Joc Pederson will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.
Total RBIs

Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. This game is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Jack Leiter today.
Outs Recorded

Brayan Bello u17.5 Outs Recorded (-125)
Projection 15.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The Texas Rangers have been the unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the majors for batting average.. In the majors, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest.. This game is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Brayan Bello's fastball velocity has fallen 1.4 mph this year (94.3 mph) below where it was last season (95.7 mph).
Total Bases

Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. This game is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Jack Leiter today.
Outs Recorded

Jack Leiter u14.5 Outs Recorded (-105)
Projection 13.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jack Leiter is projected to throw 81 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers on the slate today.. The 5th-best projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Boston Red Sox.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the majors for batting average.. In the majors, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest.. This game is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.