New York @ St. Louis Picks & Props

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his weak side (0) today against Erick Fedde Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Lindor today. Francisco Lindor has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph dropping to 81.4-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Willson Contreras tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Blade Tidwell. Willson Contreras will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Blade Tidwell throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand today. Nolan Gorman may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Nolan Gorman will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Nolan Gorman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 42.5% on the season to 50% in the past week. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.303) implies that Nolan Gorman has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .286 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals. Brandon Nimmo has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 92.9-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Blade Tidwell throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today's game. Lars Nootbaar is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Jesse Winker is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Jesse Winker will have an edge in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals. Jesse Winker has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 95.2-mph in the past 7 days. Jesse Winker's launch angle this year (19°) is quite a bit better than his 14° angle last season.

Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals. In the past two weeks, Jeff McNeil's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 58.8% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°. As it relates to plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's skill is quite good, sporting a 1.86 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 83rd percentile.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's matchup. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jordan Walker will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Jordan Walker has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 5.8% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week's worth of games. Jordan Walker has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.2-mph mark.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of plate discipline, Nolan Arenado's talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.79 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 85th percentile. Nolan Arenado has compiled a .266 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile.

Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals. Tyrone Taylor's launch angle this season (20.7°) is a considerable increase over his 16.8° mark last year. Over the last 7 days, Tyrone Taylor's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) may lead us to conclude that Tyrone Taylor has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .242 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage over Blade Tidwell today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brendan Donovan has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals. Mark Vientos has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.5% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last 7 days. Grading out in the 81st percentile, Mark Vientos sits with a .340 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals. Luis Torrens has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .235 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .263 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Luis Torrens's 10.2% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 75th percentile since the start of last season. Ranked in the 79th percentile, Luis Torrens has one of the highest average exit velocities in the league since the start of last season (90.3-mph). Luis Torrens grades out in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (46.9% rate since the start of last season).

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Masyn Winn will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Masyn Winn has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.9% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the past week's worth of games. Masyn Winn's launch angle this season (18°) is a considerable increase over his 13° angle last season. In notching a .275 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Masyn Winn is positioned in the 87th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Blade Tidwell throws from, Victor Scott II will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Victor Scott II can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Victor Scott II has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 5.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last 7 days. In the past 7 days, Victor Scott II's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blade Tidwell today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alec Burleson stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Alec Burleson will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Luisangel Acuna hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Luisangel Acuna are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Erick Fedde. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

Pedro Pages will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 13th-best batter in the game. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals. Pete Alonso has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last year to 19.2% this season. Pete Alonso has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last year's 89.7-mph mark.

Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

Jose Barrero has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.