New York @ St. Louis picks
Busch Stadium
NYM vs STL Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Blade Tidwell throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today's game.. Lars Nootbaar is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Blade Tidwell throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand today.. Nolan Gorman may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.. Nolan Gorman will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 13th-best batter in the game.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.. Pete Alonso has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last year to 19.2% this season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Juan Soto o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's matchup.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Willson Contreras o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball bats like Willson Contreras tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Blade Tidwell.
Total Bases

Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's matchup.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.