Colorado @ San Francisco picks

The Giants sport an 18th-ranked .312 wOBA and 18th-ranked .701 OPS against right-handed hurlers, and Oracle Park isn’t the hitter paradise that Coors Field is. Marquez has allowed an unsustainably high .406 BABIP and stranded just 47.9% of base runners, so both are going to improve. Additionally, while his 5.30 xFIP is an eyesore, it’s still way below his 9.82 ERA, and the Rockies bullpen has been active the past week. Look for Marquez to have a long leash and see statistical correction Sunday.

Matt Chapman projects as the 10th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Extreme groundball bats like Matt Chapman are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like German Marquez.. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his home run talent, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mickey Moniak can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. Mickey Moniak pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the worst field in the game for walks.. Oracle Park has the highest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. In his previous outing, German Marquez was rolling and conceded 0 ER.. German Marquez's 94.6-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 79th percentile among all starting pitchers.. German Marquez has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in Major League Baseball on balls in play this year with a .390 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

Michael Toglia is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Michael Toglia pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. In terms of power, Michael Toglia finds himself in the 87th percentile, having averaged 26.9 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.