New York @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Yohel Pozo will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jeff McNeil's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 58.8% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°. Sporting a 1.86 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jeff McNeil has displayed favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Jordan Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Jordan Walker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.8% up to 25%.

Over the past two weeks, Jesse Winker's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 100.1-mph over the course of the season to 103.9-mph of late. Placing in the 78th percentile, Jesse Winker has put up a .335 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season. By putting up a 1.76 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jesse Winker has shown good plate discipline, placing in the 86th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today. Posting a 1.79 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nolan Arenado has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 85th percentile. Nolan Arenado has put up a .266 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 79th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in the game. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's matchup. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Juan Soto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.8% up to 21.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Posting a .367 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Francisco Lindor is ranked in the 94th percentile. Francisco Lindor has put up a .303 batting average this year, grading out in the 89th percentile.

Victor Scott II will hold the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup. Victor Scott II will probably have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Victor Scott II will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Victor Scott II has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 5.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.

Pete Alonso projects as the 13th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The Barrel% of Pete Alonso has significantly improved, with an increase from 13.2% last year to 19.2% this season. Pete Alonso has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last year's 89.7-mph average. In the past 7 days, Pete Alonso's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.2-mph over the course of the season to 105.8-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Willson Contreras usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tylor Megill. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Masyn Winn has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.9% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the past week's worth of games. There has been a significant improvement in Masyn Winn's launch angle from last season's 13° to 18° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Starling Marte has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 107-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 88.8-mph. In terms of his batting average, Starling Marte has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .254 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .289. Checking in at the 84th percentile, Starling Marte has posted a .319 BABIP since the start of last season.

Brendan Donovan's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brendan Donovan has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Andre Pallante in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 92.9-mph average. This season, Brandon Nimmo has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.9 mph compared to last year's 93.1 mph mark.

Tyrone Taylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Tyrone Taylor's launch angle from last year's 16.8° to 20.7° this season. Over the last week, Tyrone Taylor's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) suggests that Tyrone Taylor has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .242 actual batting average. With a .312 BABIP since the start of last season, Tyrone Taylor is ranked in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the last 7 days, Mark Vientos's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.5% up to 12.5%. Mark Vientos has posted a .340 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 81st percentile.

Pedro Pages has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alec Burleson has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Alec Burleson will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Francisco Alvarez has been lifting the ball well in recent games, putting up a 24.9° launch angle in the past two weeks.

Nolan Gorman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Nolan Gorman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 42.5% on the season to 50% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Luisangel Acuna hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Luis Torrens has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 95.1-mph over the last 14 days. Luis Torrens has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .235 BA is deflated compared to his .263 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Luis Torrens is in the 84th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (46.9% rate since the start of last season).