New York @ St. Louis picks
Busch Stadium
NYM vs STL Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today's game.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Total RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Nolan Gorman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.
Total RBIs

Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Willson Contreras usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tylor Megill.
Total RBIs

Mark Vientos o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Mark Vientos has big-time HR ability (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (26.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante has a pitch-to-contact profile (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Vientos.. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jordan Walker o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.. Jordan Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Nolan Gorman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.
Total Bases

Brandon Nimmo u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Busch Stadium ranks as the #26 field in baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Brandon Nimmo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Nimmo in today's game.. Brandon Nimmo has recorded a .266 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 19th percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today's game.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Victor Scott II o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Victor Scott II will hold the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup.. Victor Scott II will probably have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.. Victor Scott II will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Juan Soto o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in the game.. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's matchup.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.