Colorado @ San Francisco picks

Senzatela is in the top 10th percentile in walk rate (3.6%) and hasn't issued more than a single walk in his last five starts. The u2.5 walks for Senzatela is at -175 (implied probability of 63.6%), despite going Under that number in 53 of 58 starts (91.4%) since the beginning of the 2022 season. Not only does Senzatela display good control, he gets hit hard with an xERA of 7.55. That often sees him get the hook early which makes it even more likely that he'll go below this number. It's also worth noting that the massive foul territory at Oracle Park leads to more strikes and tends to suppress walks. Oracle has gone 14% below the expected average of walks when adjusted for batters and pitchers over the last three years.

The Colorado Rockies have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward. Edwin Moscoso profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.. Among all major league parks, Oracle Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. The Colorado Rockies have 8 bats in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray in today's game.

Michael Toglia is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.. Michael Toglia has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.3-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 93-mph.. Over the past two weeks, Michael Toglia has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 23° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.4°.

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league parks, Oracle Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Ryan McMahon is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Matt Chapman projects as the 11th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Bats such as Matt Chapman with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Antonio Senzatela who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his home run skill, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Hunter Goodman will hold the platoon advantage over Robbie Ray today.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Extreme flyball hitters like Adael Amador tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.. Over the last week, Adael Amador has posted a 33.3° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Owen Miller will have the upper hand in today's game.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.. Owen Miller is quite quick, checking in at the 83rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.54 ft/sec since the start of last season.

Matt Chapman projects as the 11th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Bats such as Matt Chapman with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Antonio Senzatela who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.