New York @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Jeff McNeil will have the upper hand in today's game. Jeff McNeil has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile with a 1.86 K/BB rate.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage over Sonny Gray in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 92.9-mph figure. As it relates to his batting average, Brandon Nimmo has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .222 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .253.

Jesse Winker is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Jesse Winker will have the handedness advantage over Sonny Gray in today's matchup. Jesse Winker has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 103.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 100.1-mph. Jesse Winker has compiled a .333 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile. By putting up a 1.75 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jesse Winker has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 87th percentile.

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Masyn Winn has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 91.2-mph over the last two weeks. Masyn Winn's launch angle this year (17.6°) is considerably better than his 13° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge today. The New York Mets don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar is assured to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Clay Holmes in today's matchup. The New York Mets don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman is certain to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game. Extreme flyball hitters like Nolan Gorman tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Brendan Donovan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clay Holmes in today's matchup. The New York Mets don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Brendan Donovan is assured to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The Barrel% of Pete Alonso has significantly improved, with an increase from 13.2% last year to 19.6% this year. Pete Alonso has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last season's 89.7-mph average. Over the last week, Pete Alonso's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.2-mph over the course of the season to 105.8-mph of late.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today. With a 1.77 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nolan Arenado has demonstrated strong plate discipline, grading out in the 86th percentile. Nolan Arenado has notched a .268 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 80th percentile.

Tyrone Taylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Tyrone Taylor's launch angle this season (21°) is significantly better than his 16.8° mark last season. Tyrone Taylor's launch angle recently (24.2° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 21° seasonal angle. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) may lead us to conclude that Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .240 actual batting average.

Victor Scott II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clay Holmes in today's matchup. Victor Scott II is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game considering none of the available options for the New York Mets share his handedness. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Victor Scott II will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Victor Scott II has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 86.7-mph mark.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.5°, Francisco Lindor has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 19.4° angle in the last week. Francisco Lindor has notched a .270 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 94th percentile, Francisco Lindor has notched a .368 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Pedro Pages will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Sonny Gray in today's matchup. Juan Soto has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.8-mph to 98.4-mph in the last week's worth of games. In terms of his batting average, Juan Soto has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .282 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .307.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Luisangel Acuna hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Luisangel Acuna has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89.7-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage over Clay Holmes in today's game. Alec Burleson is certain to hold the advantage against every reliever all game as none of the available options for the New York Mets share his handedness. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. With a .342 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Mark Vientos is positioned in the 82nd percentile.

Francisco Alvarez has been hot recently, posting a 93.4-mph average exit velocity in the last 7 days. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Francisco Alvarez has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.8 mph (an advanced stat to study power), ranking in the 90th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today's matchup.