Washington @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst park in baseball for righty batting average. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Extreme groundball hitters like Amed Rosario tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez. Amed Rosario will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dylan Crews will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team in action today.

Jose Tena's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Tena has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team in action today. Posting a .348 BABIP since the start of last season, Jose Tena is positioned in the 91st percentile.

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin today.

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryce Harper will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. Bryce Harper has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Josh Bell is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team in action today. Josh Bell has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last year's 92.8-mph figure.

When estimating his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Trea Turner will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Edmundo Sosa will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Edmundo Sosa has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph (an advanced metric to evaluate power), checking in at the 90th percentile.

HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Alex Call will have an advantage today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team in action today. In the last week, Alex Call has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .372.

HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jacob Young will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team in action today. Jacob Young has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 89.2-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 86.4-mph.

HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Max Kepler will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage today. Max Kepler has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 89.2-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's matchup. J.T. Realmuto has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 12.1% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Alec Bohm has suffered from bad luck this year. His .234 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .304.

The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team in action today. Keibert Ruiz has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 87.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 84.8-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past week, Johan Rojas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.6% up to 12.5%. Johan Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 10.7% on the season to 25% in the last 7 days.