Arizona @ New York picks

The New York Mets are averaging 4.83 runs per game after a relatively slow start, and their lineup is looking deeper and more powerful as the weather warms up. With a rocky start to the 2025 season for Corbin Burnes, the Mets aren’t likely to make his numbers look any better, either, especially the way Pete Alonso (.346, 7 HR) has been hitting the ball in the middle of the New York lineup. Arizona will face an interesting test, as the Mets are starting with an opener in Huascar Brazoban, but the bulk of their innings are expected to be pitched by the relatively unknown Brandon Waddell. There's not much confidence in Waddell shutting down a dynamic and deep Diamondbacks offense. Combine that with how the Mets have been scoring, and I don’t think we’re in store for a pitching duel. I’m backing the Over.

As it relates to his home run talent, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an advantage in today's game.. Randal Grichuk pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

When it comes to his home run ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have the upper hand today.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time power (96th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brandon Waddell struggles to strike batters out (16th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his home run talent, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an advantage in today's game.. Randal Grichuk pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

When it comes to his home run ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have the upper hand today.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time power (96th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brandon Waddell struggles to strike batters out (16th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have an advantage in today's game.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.. Compared to last year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.1% to 23.6% this season.