Arizona @ New York Picks & Props

AZ vs NYM Picks

MLB Picks
Total
Arizona Diamondbacks logo New York Mets logo o8.5 (-108)
Pick made: 6 months ago
Ed Scimia image
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

The New York Mets are averaging 4.83 runs per game after a relatively slow start, and their lineup is looking deeper and more powerful as the weather warms up. With a rocky start to the 2025 season for Corbin Burnes, the Mets aren’t likely to make his numbers look any better, either, especially the way Pete Alonso (.346, 7 HR) has been hitting the ball in the middle of the New York lineup. Arizona will face an interesting test, as the Mets are starting with an opener in Huascar Brazoban, but the bulk of their innings are expected to be pitched by the relatively unknown Brandon Waddell. There's not much confidence in Waddell shutting down a dynamic and deep Diamondbacks offense. Combine that with how the Mets have been scoring, and I don’t think we’re in store for a pitching duel. I’m backing the Over.

Total RBIs
Randal Grichuk logo
Randal Grichuk o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an advantage in today's game.. Randal Grichuk pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.
Total RBIs
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have the upper hand today.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time power (96th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brandon Waddell struggles to strike batters out (16th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Randal Grichuk logo
Randal Grichuk o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an advantage in today's game.. Randal Grichuk pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have the upper hand today.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time power (96th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brandon Waddell struggles to strike batters out (16th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have an advantage in today's game.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.. Compared to last year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.1% to 23.6% this season.
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AZ vs NYM Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

61% picking Arizona vs NY Mets to go Over

61%
39%

Total PicksAZ 233, NYM 146

Total
Over
Under

AZ vs NYM Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Randal Grichuk Total Hits Props • Arizona

Randal Grichuk
R. Grichuk
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an advantage in today's game. Randal Grichuk pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Randal Grichuk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an advantage in today's game. Randal Grichuk pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have an advantage in today's game. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Compared to last year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.1% to 23.6% this season.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have an advantage in today's game. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Compared to last year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.1% to 23.6% this season.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Arizona

Eugenio Suarez
E. Suarez
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have the upper hand today. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Eugenio Suarez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brandon Waddell.

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have the upper hand today. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Eugenio Suarez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brandon Waddell.

Tim Tawa Total Hits Props • Arizona

Tim Tawa
T. Tawa
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Tim Tawa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Tim Tawa will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Tim Tawa pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Tim Tawa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Tim Tawa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Tim Tawa will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Tim Tawa pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Jorge Barrosa Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jorge Barrosa
J. Barrosa
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Jorge Barrosa pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Jorge Barrosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jorge Barrosa pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

Gabriel Moreno
G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Gabriel Moreno's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have an advantage today. Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Compared to last season, Gabriel Moreno has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 41.8% to 47.3% this season.

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Gabriel Moreno's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have an advantage today. Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Compared to last season, Gabriel Moreno has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 41.8% to 47.3% this season.

Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jesse Winker
J. Winker
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Jesse Winker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Jesse Winker will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Burnes today. Jesse Winker will probably have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP. Jesse Winker has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jesse Winker will hold that advantage today.

Jesse Winker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jesse Winker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Jesse Winker will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Burnes today. Jesse Winker will probably have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP. Jesse Winker has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jesse Winker will hold that advantage today.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today's game. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jeff McNeil will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the last week, Jeff McNeil has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .416.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today's game. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jeff McNeil will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the last week, Jeff McNeil has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .416.

Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Arizona

Garrett Hampson
G. Hampson
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Batting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Garrett Hampson will have an edge today. Garrett Hampson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Garrett Hampson ranks in the 83rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.8% rate since the start of last season).

Garrett Hampson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Batting from the opposite that Brandon Waddell throws from, Garrett Hampson will have an edge today. Garrett Hampson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Garrett Hampson ranks in the 83rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.8% rate since the start of last season).

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Tyrone Taylor
T. Taylor
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences today. Tyrone Taylor will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences today. Tyrone Taylor will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Vientos
M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Mark Vientos is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Checking in at the 87th percentile, the hardest ball Mark Vientos has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.2 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Mark Vientos is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Checking in at the 87th percentile, the hardest ball Mark Vientos has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.2 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

Corbin Carroll
C. Carroll
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Alvarez
F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Francisco Alvarez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Francisco Alvarez has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.8 mph (an advanced metric to assess power), ranking in the 94th percentile.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Francisco Alvarez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Francisco Alvarez has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.8 mph (an advanced metric to assess power), ranking in the 94th percentile.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's game. By putting up a .368 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Francisco Lindor finds himself in the 94th percentile.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's game. By putting up a .368 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Francisco Lindor finds himself in the 94th percentile.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's game. Juan Soto is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's game. Juan Soto is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Starling Marte
S. Marte
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Starling Marte's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Starling Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play, and Starling Marte's 25.3° mark (94th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Starling Marte's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Starling Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play, and Starling Marte's 25.3° mark (94th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Geraldo Perdomo
G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Compared to last year, Geraldo Perdomo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13% to 22.2% this season. As it relates to plate discipline, Geraldo Perdomo's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.28 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 98th percentile.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Compared to last year, Geraldo Perdomo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13% to 22.2% this season. As it relates to plate discipline, Geraldo Perdomo's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.28 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 98th percentile.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best batter in the game. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Pete Alonso has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 19.4% this year.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best batter in the game. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Pete Alonso has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 19.4% this year.

Luisangel Acuna Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Luisangel Acuna
L. Acuna
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Luisangel Acuna hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Luisangel Acuna will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Luisangel Acuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Luisangel Acuna hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Luisangel Acuna will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Arizona Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 anya 7-3-0 +19170
2 PlusOdds 3-6-1 +17545
3 Bassboy7276 6-4-0 +15647
4 uncle_Pasha_DRW 4-5-1 +13772
5 vitom 6-3-1 +13655
6 mccabecj 4-6-0 +13555
7 timstutler25 4-6-0 +12860
8 drizrazz 5-3-2 +12715
9 hoody 8-2-0 +12370
10 Brayy_Wyatt 5-5-0 +12265
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NY Mets Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 jessestars 5-4-1 +19870
2 F-Orrell 4-5-1 +17629
3 tjansen70 7-2-1 +17280
4 FRANKYFUGAZI1 6-4-0 +15550
5 billdo 3-5-2 +15170
6 BundiniBrown 5-5-0 +14785
7 CigarSt22 4-6-0 +14368
8 salgundy 5-4-1 +14235
9 dashow69 3-7-0 +13880
10 braustin1 5-5-0 +13475
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