Cincinnati @ Miami Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 15th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Dane Myers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Dane Myers has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 96.6-mph over the past two weeks.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which generally leads to less offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and will be challenged by MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Xavier Edwards tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brady Singer. Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 87.1-mph mark last year has fallen off to 82.1-mph.

Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Austin Hays has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.3-mph average to last year's 91.6-mph average. In the past two weeks, Austin Hays's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 20.8% up to 20.8%. Placing in the 86th percentile, Austin Hays has notched a .330 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Matt McLain hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 22.1°, Matt McLain has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 32° figure over the last two weeks.

The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. In the past week, Jeimer Candelario's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 98.4-mph lately. Over the past two weeks, Jeimer Candelario has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 39° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.2°. Jeimer Candelario has been unlucky this year, compiling a .207 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .094 gap.

The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ronny Simon will hold that advantage in today's game.

Noelvi Marte has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Noelvi Marte hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Noelvi Marte's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) has been 111.5 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 77th percentile.

Matt Mervis is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Matt Mervis will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer today... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split. Batters such as Matt Mervis with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brady Singer who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Matt Mervis will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Connor Norby's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Connor Norby will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Connor Norby grades out in the 82nd percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .331.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. TJ Friedl will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. TJ Friedl is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. In the last week, TJ Friedl's 63.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.2%.

The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Spencer Steer has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 76th percentile with a 1.99 K/BB rate.

The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Graham Pauley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's matchup... and moreover, Singer has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Graham Pauley will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Graham Pauley's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.5-mph over the course of the season to 92.5-mph recently. A consistent launch angle is a measure of good hitting, and Graham Pauley has been very consistent with his lately, putting up a 33.2° launch angle standard deviation over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his good side against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eric Wagaman in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Eric Wagaman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Eric Wagaman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Gavin Lux's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gavin Lux is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Gavin Lux will have the handedness advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Gavin Lux will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.

Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Kyle Stowers will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Kyle Stowers has made notable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 11% rate last season to 18.8% this year.

The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Fraley has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jake Fraley has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past two weeks. Jake Fraley's launch angle this year (19.8°) is quite a bit higher than his 10.9° mark last year.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Jesus Sanchez will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Otto Lopez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Compared to last season, Otto Lopez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.4% to 23.9% this season. Otto Lopez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 23.9% on the season to 32.1% in the past 14 days.

The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, Liam Hicks will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage today. Liam Hicks's launch angle of late (37.5° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 11.2° seasonal figure.

LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.