Cincinnati @ Miami Picks & Props

CIN vs MIA Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

70% picking Cincinnati

70%
30%

Total PicksCIN 581, MIA 254

Moneyline
CIN
MIA
Moneyline
Total

73% picking Cincinnati vs Miami to go Over

73%
27%

Total PicksCIN 408, MIA 153

Total
Over
Under

CIN vs MIA Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami

Dane Myers
D. Myers
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 16th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Dane Myers usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Martinez. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Dane Myers logo

Dane Myers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 16th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Dane Myers usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Martinez. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

Xavier Edwards
X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense. Xavier Edwards has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game. From last season to this one, Xavier Edwards's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 87.1 mph to 80.9 mph. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (6.3°) is significantly lower than his 10.8° mark last season. Xavier Edwards has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .317 figure is inflated compared to his .283 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Xavier Edwards logo

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense. Xavier Edwards has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game. From last season to this one, Xavier Edwards's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 87.1 mph to 80.9 mph. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (6.3°) is significantly lower than his 10.8° mark last season. Xavier Edwards has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .317 figure is inflated compared to his .283 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Spencer Steer
S. Steer
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Spencer Steer has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile with a 1.99 K/BB rate.

Spencer Steer logo

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Spencer Steer has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile with a 1.99 K/BB rate.

Matt McLain Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Matt McLain
M. McLain
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Matt McLain hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Matt McLain logo

Matt McLain

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Matt McLain hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami

Kyle Stowers
K. Stowers
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an edge in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Kyle Stowers logo

Kyle Stowers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an edge in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

Otto Lopez
O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Otto Lopez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bats such as Otto Lopez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nick Martinez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Otto Lopez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Otto Lopez logo

Otto Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Otto Lopez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bats such as Otto Lopez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nick Martinez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Otto Lopez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Noelvi Marte
N. Marte
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Noelvi Marte hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Noelvi Marte has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 111.5 mph (an advanced stat to study power), grading out in the 77th percentile. Ranking in the 93rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.89 ft/sec this year, Noelvi Marte is very quick.

Noelvi Marte logo

Noelvi Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Noelvi Marte hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Noelvi Marte has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 111.5 mph (an advanced stat to study power), grading out in the 77th percentile. Ranking in the 93rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.89 ft/sec this year, Noelvi Marte is very quick.

Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami

Connor Norby
C. Norby
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Connor Norby will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Connor Norby logo

Connor Norby

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Connor Norby will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Jeimer Candelario
J. Candelario
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Despite posting a .218 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jeimer Candelario has suffered from bad luck given the .083 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.

Jeimer Candelario logo

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Despite posting a .218 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jeimer Candelario has suffered from bad luck given the .083 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.

Jose Trevino Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Jose Trevino
J. Trevino
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. When it comes to plate discipline, Jose Trevino's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.88 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.

Jose Trevino logo

Jose Trevino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. When it comes to plate discipline, Jose Trevino's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.88 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

TJ Friedl
T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

TJ Friedl is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, TJ Friedl will have an edge today. TJ Friedl may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

TJ Friedl logo

TJ Friedl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

TJ Friedl is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, TJ Friedl will have an edge today. TJ Friedl may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Gavin Lux
G. Lux
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Gavin Lux is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Gavin Lux will have the handedness advantage over Edward Cabrera in today's game. Gavin Lux has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Gavin Lux logo

Gavin Lux

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Gavin Lux is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Gavin Lux will have the handedness advantage over Edward Cabrera in today's game. Gavin Lux has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Austin Hays
A. Hays
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Austin Hays has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.3-mph average to last season's 91.6-mph mark. With a .334 BABIP since the start of last season, Austin Hays grades out in the 88th percentile.

Austin Hays logo

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Austin Hays has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.3-mph average to last season's 91.6-mph mark. With a .334 BABIP since the start of last season, Austin Hays grades out in the 88th percentile.

Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami

Eric Wagaman
E. Wagaman
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eric Wagaman in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Eric Wagaman logo

Eric Wagaman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eric Wagaman in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Elly De La Cruz
E. De La Cruz
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Edward Cabrera today. Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Elly De La Cruz logo

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Edward Cabrera today. Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

Jesus Sanchez
J. Sanchez
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Jesus Sanchez logo

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Jake Fraley
J. Fraley
right outfield RF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge in today's game. Jake Fraley is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Jake Fraley has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 3.2% rate last season to 8.3% this year.

Jake Fraley logo

Jake Fraley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge in today's game. Jake Fraley is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Jake Fraley has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 3.2% rate last season to 8.3% this year.

Matt Mervis Total Hits Props • Miami

Matt Mervis
M. Mervis
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Matt Mervis will have an edge today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Matt Mervis will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Matt Mervis has been hot lately, posting a .374 wOBA over the past 14 days.

Matt Mervis logo

Matt Mervis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

This game is forecasted to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Matt Mervis will have an edge today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Matt Mervis will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Matt Mervis has been hot lately, posting a .374 wOBA over the past 14 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Cincinnati Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MLBFan8848 4-6-0 +16975
2 samua 4-6-0 +16620
3 theSleeper 5-5-0 +15590
4 sprtnt1 7-3-0 +14035
5 northlv6238 8-1-1 +13865
6 uncle_Pasha_DRW 4-5-1 +13531
7 ASDFJKL123 5-4-1 +13198
8 stranger28 8-2-0 +13139
9 IronCity1 5-4-1 +13060
10 FAMCOLLECTOR 6-4-0 +12725
All Reds Money Leaders

Miami Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MatroxSD 7-3-0 +33200
2 JayAcosta20 5-5-0 +28490
3 chuluckus 3-6-1 +28010
4 Alexandr1966 6-4-0 +26360
5 northlv6238 6-3-1 +23335
6 ewatson15 6-4-0 +22000
7 Forkball1 7-3-0 +20245
8 purple_stars 6-4-0 +16950
9 dogeatdog 6-4-0 +16115
10 jwwong 8-2-0 +16110
All Marlins Money Leaders
Top User Picks

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