Cincinnati @ Miami Picks & Props
CIN vs MIA Picks
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CIN vs MIA Props
Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. As it relates to plate discipline, Spencer Steer's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.99 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 77th percentile.
Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Connor Norby is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Connor Norby will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's matchup.
Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Over the past 7 days, Austin Hays has displayed impressive power, recording a a 23.1% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power). In the last 7 days, Austin Hays has averaged an impressive 96.8-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential. Austin Hays has notched a .327 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile.
Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Noelvi Marte hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Noelvi Marte has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 28.75 ft/sec to 29.25 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Placing in the 77th percentile, the hardest ball Noelvi Marte has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 111.5 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.
Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami
Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 11% rate last year to 18.2% this year.
Matt McLain Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Matt McLain hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Matt McLain is notably toolsy, placing in the 94th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.08 ft/sec this year.
Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami
Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Eric Wagaman will have an edge today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.
Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Max Meyer. Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage today. Jesus Sanchez has displayed some good exit velocity stats recently, averaging 106.1-mph on his flyballs over the past 7 days.
Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Jeimer Candelario's launch angle lately (40.3° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 11° seasonal mark. Despite posting a .218 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jeimer Candelario has been unlucky given the .084 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.
Ronny Simon Total Hits Props • Miami
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Ronny Simon will hold that advantage in today's game.
Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards as the 20th-best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP skill. Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Xavier Edwards will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Dane Myers is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dane Myers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Dane Myers will have the upper hand in today's game. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Jake Fraley will have the handedness advantage against Max Meyer in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Fraley has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jake Fraley's launch angle this year (21.5°) is considerably better than his 10.9° angle last season. In the past week, Jake Fraley's 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.4%.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Otto Lopez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.
TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
TJ Friedl is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, TJ Friedl will have an edge in today's matchup. TJ Friedl has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. TJ Friedl has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile with a 1.83 K/BB rate.
Jose Trevino Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Jose Trevino has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.
Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Gavin Lux is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Gavin Lux will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Gavin Lux is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.
Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami
Javier Sanoja's batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Javier Sanoja will have the upper hand in today's game. Javier Sanoja hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.
Graham Pauley Total Hits Props • Miami
Graham Pauley has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
CIN vs MIA Trends
Cincinnati Trends
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 28% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 44% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 164 games (+6.15 Units / 3% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 45% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 37% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 33% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.00 Units / 17% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 2 of their last 10 games (-7.10 Units / -62% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 10 games (-7.00 Units / -60% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 8 away games (-4.45 Units / -51% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 164 games (-7.85 Units / -4% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (-1.35 Units / -22% ROI)
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.60 Units / 51% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 161 games (+0.75 Units / 0% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.30 Units / 57% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 18% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.20 Units / 12% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 17 games (-11.35 Units / -57% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 68 of their last 161 games (-30.45 Units / -17% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 21 games (-8.20 Units / -36% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 1 of their last 6 games at home (-5.65 Units / -71% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 51 of their last 161 games (-24.90 Units / -15% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 1 of their last 6 games (-5.00 Units / -68% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 7 games at home (-2.80 Units / -37% ROI)
CIN vs MIA Top User Picks
Cincinnati Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLBFan8848 | 4-6-0 | +16975 |
| 2 | samua | 4-6-0 | +16620 |
| 3 | theSleeper | 5-5-0 | +15590 |
| 4 | sprtnt1 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 8-1-1 | +13865 |
| 6 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13531 |
| 7 | ASDFJKL123 | 5-4-1 | +13198 |
| 8 | stranger28 | 8-2-0 | +13139 |
| 9 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +13060 |
| 10 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 6-4-0 | +12725 |
| All Reds Money Leaders | |||
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||