Miami @ Philadelphia Picks & Props
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MIA vs PHI Consensus Picks
MIA vs PHI Props
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Jesus Sanchez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Jesus Sanchez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .250 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .278 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami
Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Kyle Stowers has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 11% rate last year to 18.2% this season. Kyle Stowers's 90.8-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in the majors since the start of last season: 84th percentile. Ranking in the 90th percentile, Kyle Stowers sports a .341 BABIP since the start of last season.
Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Connor Gillispie throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami
When estimating his BABIP skill, Xavier Edwards is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Extreme groundball hitters like Xavier Edwards tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jesus Luzardo. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.
Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Javier Sanoja will have the upper hand today. Extreme flyball hitters like Javier Sanoja generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jesus Luzardo. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.
Matt Mervis Total Hits Props • Miami
Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. In the past week's worth of games, Matt Mervis has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .382.
Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in MLB. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Connor Gillispie throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage in today's matchup. Bryce Harper will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Bryce Harper has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Bryson Stott has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Connor Gillispie throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami
Eric Wagaman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Eric Wagaman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Posting a .257 batting average since the start of last season, Eric Wagaman has performed in the 76th percentile.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Otto Lopez will have an edge in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Otto Lopez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jesus Luzardo.
Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Connor Norby is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Connor Norby will have an edge today. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.
Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Connor Gillispie throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Max Kepler's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to evaluate power) has been 115.4 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 92nd percentile.
Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Alec Bohm will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.296) may lead us to conclude that Alec Bohm has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .268 actual batting average. Alec Bohm's 90.5-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the game since the start of last season: 75th percentile.
Rob Brantly Total Hits Props • Miami
Rob Brantly has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.
Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average ability. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Trea Turner will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In notching a .342 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Trea Turner is ranked in the 83rd percentile.
Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP talent. Dane Myers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Dane Myers will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Dane Myers tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jesus Luzardo.
Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage today. Nick Castellanos has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95-mph average to last season's 90.7-mph EV.
Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Batters such as Johan Rojas with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Connor Gillispie who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Johan Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
MIA vs PHI Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 87 of their last 162 games (+13.40 Units / 7% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 81 away games (+10.95 Units / 12% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 81 away games (+4.10 Units / 5% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 162 games (-29.65 Units / -16% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 67 of their last 162 games (-27.55 Units / -16% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 52 of their last 162 games (-23.10 Units / -14% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 81 away games (-22.35 Units / -23% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 81 of their last 162 games (-19.50 Units / -9% ROI)
Philadelphia Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 81 games at home (+15.75 Units / 11% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+9.63 Units / 6% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 81 games at home (+2.00 Units / 2% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 84 of their last 167 games (+1.00 Units / 1% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Game Total Under in 75 of their last 167 games (-17.75 Units / -10% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 81 of their last 165 games (-17.35 Units / -9% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Team Total Under in 81 of their last 167 games (-16.30 Units / -8% ROI)
MIA vs PHI Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||
Philadelphia Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | fatrats | 8-2-0 | +21045 |
| 2 | jlayne089 | 5-5-0 | +20155 |
| 3 | jakringle | 4-6-0 | +19940 |
| 4 | Alayne | 9-1-0 | +19467 |
| 5 | dragon5868 | 5-5-0 | +19235 |
| 6 | tonloc4554 | 6-4-0 | +17610 |
| 7 | KSBreview | 6-4-0 | +15789 |
| 8 | JL023 | 3-7-0 | +15387 |
| 9 | DavePaliwoda | 7-3-0 | +15330 |
| 10 | nolajay | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| All Phillies Money Leaders | |||