Chicago @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this contest calls for the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Hunter Dobbins will have the handedness advantage against Lenyn Sosa today. Out of every team today, the best infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox. Lenyn Sosa will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this contest calls for the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Batting from the same side that Martin Perez throws from, Jarren Duran will not have the upper hand in today's game. Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.9°, Jarren Duran has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-5.4°) in the last 14 days. Jarren Duran's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (3.7°) is considerably lower than his 8.4° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in MLB for left-handed base hits. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 18.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in MLB for left-handed base hits. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 18.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Edgar Quero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in MLB for left-handed base hits. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 18.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nick Maton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today's matchup. Nick Maton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Nick Maton usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Dobbins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in MLB for left-handed base hits. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 18.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Rafael Devers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 18.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Alex Bregman will have an edge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in MLB for left-handed base hits. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 18.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Brooks Baldwin has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 13.5% seasonal rate to 36.4% in the past week. Brooks Baldwin has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph to 99.5-mph in the past 7 days.

Chase Meidroth has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 18.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Luis Robert Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 18.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 18.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 18.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 18.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Kristian Campbell will have an advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in MLB for left-handed base hits. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 18.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Matt Thaiss will have an advantage in today's game. Matt Thaiss hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Matt Thaiss has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 24.85 ft/sec to 25.71 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 18.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Rob Refsnyder will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's game.

Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 18.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an advantage in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 18.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Carlos Narvaez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Romy Gonzalez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 18.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Romy Gonzalez will have the upper hand in today's game.

Joshua Palacios is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in MLB for left-handed base hits. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 18.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Joshua Palacios will have an advantage today.

Jacob Amaya has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.