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MIA vs PHI Picks
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MIA vs PHI Props
Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami
Kyle Stowers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers has made notable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 11% rate last season to 20% this year.
Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami
Connor Norby's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Connor Norby has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .312 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .335. Connor Norby's 14.8% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) grades out in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season.
Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami
Eric Wagaman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. In the past week, Eric Wagaman's maximum exit velocity (a good indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 109.7-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the league. A consistent launch angle is a measure of good hitting, and Eric Wagaman has been very consistent with his of late, putting up a 32.9° launch angle standard deviation in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Liam Hicks Total Hits Props • Miami
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Liam Hicks will have the upper hand today. Liam Hicks has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Liam Hicks has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well in recent games, compiling a 34° angle on such balls in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 19th-best batter in the league when estimating his batting average skill. Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team today.
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jesus Sanchez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards as the 19th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Zack Wheeler. Xavier Edwards has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Matt Mervis Total Hits Props • Miami
Matt Mervis is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Matt Mervis will have the handedness advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's game. Matt Mervis has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 21.7% seasonal rate to 50% over the past 7 days.
Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.
Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's game. Bryson Stott may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.
Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in the majors. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.281) suggests that Otto Lopez has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .266 actual batting average.
Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today's game.
Griffin Conine Total Hits Props • Miami
Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Griffin Conine will have the upper hand in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Griffin Conine's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.5%. Griffin Conine has been hot lately, putting up a a 13.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) over the last two weeks.
J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game.
Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Max Kepler will have the upper hand today. Max Kepler is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team today.
Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team today.
Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team today. Johan Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami
Javier Sanoja has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.
MIA vs PHI Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 86 of their last 161 games (+12.40 Units / 7% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 80 away games (+12.15 Units / 13% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 80 away games (+5.10 Units / 6% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 161 games (-28.80 Units / -16% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 67 of their last 161 games (-26.45 Units / -15% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 80 away games (-22.90 Units / -24% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 52 of their last 161 games (-22.10 Units / -13% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 161 games (-20.80 Units / -10% ROI)
Philadelphia Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 80 games at home (+14.75 Units / 10% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 47 of their last 80 games at home (+8.63 Units / 6% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 80 games at home (+6.25 Units / 6% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 80 games at home (+3.45 Units / 4% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 80 of their last 164 games (-18.55 Units / -9% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Team Total Under in 81 of their last 166 games (-15.55 Units / -8% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Game Total Under in 76 of their last 166 games (-14.55 Units / -8% ROI)
MIA vs PHI Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||
Philadelphia Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | fatrats | 8-2-0 | +21045 |
| 2 | jlayne089 | 5-5-0 | +20155 |
| 3 | jakringle | 4-6-0 | +19940 |
| 4 | Alayne | 9-1-0 | +19467 |
| 5 | dragon5868 | 5-5-0 | +19235 |
| 6 | tonloc4554 | 6-4-0 | +17610 |
| 7 | KSBreview | 6-4-0 | +15789 |
| 8 | JL023 | 3-7-0 | +15387 |
| 9 | DavePaliwoda | 7-3-0 | +15330 |
| 10 | nolajay | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| All Phillies Money Leaders | |||