Arizona @ Miami Picks & Props
AZ vs MIA Picks
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AZ vs MIA Consensus Picks
AZ vs MIA Props
Tim Tawa Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 10th-best field in the majors for RHB base hits. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Tim Tawa is quite quick, checking in at the 85th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.29 ft/sec this year.
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #10 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage today.
Graham Pauley Total Hits Props • Miami
The #10 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Graham Pauley has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .211 rate is a fair amount lower than his .240 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which often leads to worse offense. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Eduardo Rodriguez in this game. Xavier Edwards has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Xavier Edwards's average exit velocity has declined this year; his 86-mph average last season has dropped off to 81.8-mph.
Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Connor Norby is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 10th-best field in the majors for RHB base hits. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Derek Hill Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 10th-best field in the majors for RHB base hits. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Derek Hill will have the handedness advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup. Batters such as Derek Hill with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Eduardo Rodriguez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 10th-best field in the majors for RHB base hits. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Gabriel Moreno has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.3-mph average to last year's 90-mph figure.
Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 10th-best field in the majors for RHB base hits. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Extreme groundball hitters like Eugenio Suarez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Edward Cabrera. Eugenio Suarez has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 11.4% rate last season to 18.4% this year.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 10th-best field in the majors for RHB base hits. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami
Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The #10 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Stowers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Kyle Stowers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
Otto Lopez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 10th-best field in the majors for RHB base hits. This matchup is projected to have the 9th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Otto Lopez will have an edge in today's matchup.
Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami
Eric Wagaman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 10th-best field in the majors for RHB base hits. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Eric Wagaman will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup.
Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge today.
Liam Hicks Total Hits Props • Miami
The #10 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today's game.
Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami
When it comes to his BABIP skill, Dane Myers is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 10th-best field in the majors for RHB base hits. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Dane Myers will have an advantage in today's game. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
Griffin Conine Total Hits Props • Miami
The #10 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Griffin Conine will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Griffin Conine has been hot lately, posting a .380 wOBA in the past week. Griffin Conine has notched a .274 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 88th percentile.
Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 10th-best field in the majors for RHB base hits. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Javier Sanoja will have the handedness advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today. Javier Sanoja hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The #10 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph EV. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13% to 28.8%.
Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona
The #10 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Alek Thomas will have an advantage in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alek Thomas can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Alek Thomas has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .224 mark is considerably lower than his .254 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Rob Brantly Total Hits Props • Miami
The #10 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Rob Brantly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Jose Herrera Total Hits Props • Arizona
The #10 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pavin Smith is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #10 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Pavin Smith will have an advantage today.
AZ vs MIA Trends
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 90 of their last 162 games (+19.80 Units / 11% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.65 Units / 47% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 83 away games (+14.75 Units / 15% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 83 away games (+11.90 Units / 12% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 82 away games (+11.75 Units / 11% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 83 away games (+9.15 Units / 8% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Game Total Under in 63 of their last 162 games (-35.85 Units / -20% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 159 games (-25.55 Units / -13% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 18 games (-7.70 Units / -37% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 75 of their last 162 games (-5.70 Units / -3% ROI)
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 81 games at home (+28.85 Units / 32% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+10.20 Units / 11% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 81 games at home (-35.55 Units / -40% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 161 games (-28.45 Units / -16% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games at home (-22.80 Units / -24% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 52 of their last 161 games (-22.25 Units / -13% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 161 games (-21.15 Units / -10% ROI)
AZ vs MIA Top User Picks
Arizona Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||