Arizona @ Miami Picks & Props
AZ vs MIA Picks
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AZ vs MIA Consensus Picks
AZ vs MIA Props
Derek Hill Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bats such as Derek Hill with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Derek Hill will hold that advantage today.
Tim Tawa Total Hits Props • Arizona
The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In MLB, LoanDepot Park's CF fences are the 6th-shallowest. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Tim Tawa is very athletic, checking in at the 85th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.29 ft/sec this year.
Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. Today, Xavier Edwards is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39% rate (96th percentile). The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of every team playing today. Xavier Edwards's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 86-mph mark last season has fallen to 81.8-mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.1°, Xavier Edwards has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1°) over the last 14 days.
Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami
Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The #10 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona
Gabriel Moreno's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Gabriel Moreno hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Gabriel Moreno's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 41.8% to 50%.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In MLB, LoanDepot Park's CF fences are the 6th-shallowest. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Graham Pauley Total Hits Props • Miami
The #10 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Graham Pauley will have the upper hand in today's game. Graham Pauley will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Graham Pauley has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 91.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 89.3-mph.
Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Arizona
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bats such as Eugenio Suarez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Meyer who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Eugenio Suarez has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 11.4% rate last year to 19.4% this year.
Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami
Eric Wagaman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In MLB, LoanDepot Park's CF fences are the 6th-shallowest. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Eric Wagaman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Max Meyer in today's matchup.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Matt Mervis Total Hits Props • Miami
Matt Mervis is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Matt Mervis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Matt Mervis will hold that advantage in today's game.
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage in today's game.
Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Geraldo Perdomo has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 3.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last week's worth of games. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 13% to 28.8%.
Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona
Jake McCarthy's batting average skill is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #10 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jake McCarthy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Liam Hicks Total Hits Props • Miami
The #10 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge in today's game. Liam Hicks will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Liam Hicks's launch angle in recent games (26.5° in the past week's worth of games) is considerably better than his 6.2° seasonal figure.
Griffin Conine Total Hits Props • Miami
The #10 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Griffin Conine will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Griffin Conine will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Griffin Conine's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 18.2% on the season to 30% over the last 7 days.
Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The #10 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Alek Thomas will have an advantage today. Alek Thomas will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.
Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pavin Smith ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pavin Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The #10 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer today.
AZ vs MIA Trends
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 82 away games (+6.50 Units / 7% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 82 away games (+13.75 Units / 15% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 away games (+12.75 Units / 13% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 82 away games (+10.80 Units / 11% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 82 away games (+8.00 Units / 7% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Game Total Under in 62 of their last 162 games (-37.95 Units / -21% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 72 of their last 159 games (-27.60 Units / -15% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 17 games (-6.55 Units / -33% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 75 of their last 162 games (-5.70 Units / -3% ROI)
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 54 of their last 81 games at home (+30.95 Units / 34% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+12.40 Units / 13% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 161 games (+1.35 Units / 1% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 81 games at home (-37.65 Units / -43% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 70 of their last 161 games (-26.05 Units / -14% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games at home (-24.90 Units / -26% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 52 of their last 161 games (-21.25 Units / -13% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 81 of their last 161 games (-18.80 Units / -9% ROI)
AZ vs MIA Top User Picks
Arizona Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||