Arizona @ Miami Picks & Props
AZ vs MIA Picks
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AZ vs MIA Props
Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. In today's game, Xavier Edwards is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.9% rate (96th percentile). Typically, batters like Xavier Edwards who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Merrill Kelly. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team in action today.
Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami
Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #10 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an edge in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
Derek Hill Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Derek Hill will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week, Derek Hill has averaged an impressive 102.2-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential.
Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Gabriel Moreno hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Gabriel Moreno tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Connor Gillispie.
Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Arizona
LoanDepot Park ranks as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Garrett Hampson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Garrett Hampson is in the 78th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.1% rate since the start of last season).
Tim Tawa Total Hits Props • Arizona
LoanDepot Park ranks as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in LoanDepot Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Tim Tawa is quite quick, checking in at the 86th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.29 ft/sec this year.
Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami
Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in LoanDepot Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Eric Wagaman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The #10 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Corbin Carroll will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Gillispie in today's game.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game.
Graham Pauley Total Hits Props • Miami
The #10 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Graham Pauley will have an advantage in today's matchup. Graham Pauley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Graham Pauley's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.3-mph over the course of the season to 91.5-mph in recent games.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in LoanDepot Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona
Alek Thomas's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #10 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Connor Gillispie throws from, Alek Thomas will have an advantage in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alek Thomas stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #10 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Geraldo Perdomo has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 3.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past week.
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #10 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have the upper hand today.
Matt Mervis Total Hits Props • Miami
Matt Mervis is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #10 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Matt Mervis will have the upper hand today. Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Mervis tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Merrill Kelly.
Griffin Conine Total Hits Props • Miami
The #10 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Griffin Conine will have the handedness advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's game. Griffin Conine will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Griffin Conine's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.2%.
Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Eugenio Suarez has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 11.4% rate last year to 19.4% this season.
Liam Hicks Total Hits Props • Miami
The #10 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Liam Hicks will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 6.2°, Liam Hicks has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.5° angle over the past week.
Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Pavin Smith ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pavin Smith is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #10 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Connor Gillispie throws from, Pavin Smith will have the upper hand in today's game.
AZ vs MIA Trends
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 90 of their last 162 games (+19.80 Units / 11% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 81 away games (+12.75 Units / 14% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 81 away games (+5.95 Units / 6% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 48 of their last 80 away games (+11.75 Units / 12% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 81 away games (+9.80 Units / 10% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 81 away games (+7.00 Units / 6% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Game Total Under in 63 of their last 162 games (-35.85 Units / -20% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 159 games (-25.35 Units / -13% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 74 of their last 162 games (-6.70 Units / -3% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 16 games (-5.55 Units / -30% ROI)
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 161 games (+1.30 Units / 1% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 81 games at home (+28.85 Units / 32% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+10.05 Units / 11% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 81 games at home (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 15% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 81 games at home (-35.55 Units / -40% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 71 of their last 161 games (-23.85 Units / -13% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 70 games (-27.50 Units / -34% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games at home (-22.80 Units / -24% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 53 of their last 161 games (-19.25 Units / -11% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 161 games (-16.60 Units / -8% ROI)
AZ vs MIA Top User Picks
Arizona Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||