Boston @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #21 field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage against Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. Typically, bats like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Walker Buehler. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among every team today. Yandy Diaz's launch angle this season (-0.7°) is considerably lower than his 4.8° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Triston Casas will have an advantage in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Triston Casas's launch angle from last season's 10.5° to 20.1° this year.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Hitters such as Danny Jansen with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Walker Buehler who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Danny Jansen will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Sporting a 1.41 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Danny Jansen has displayed impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 95th percentile.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. In the last two weeks, Kristian Campbell has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .415. In the last week's worth of games, Kristian Campbell has averaged an impressive 97.8-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Walker Buehler today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Christopher Morel will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 17th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's matchup.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage over Walker Buehler in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage in today's game.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Ben Rortvedt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Ceddanne Rafaela's launch angle of late (19.3° over the past week) is significantly better than his 8.1° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Alex Bregman has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94-mph average to last year's 89-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Trevor Story has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's game.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Kameron Misner will have an advantage in today's game. Kameron Misner will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Kameron Misner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 10% on the season to 20% in the last 7 days.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jake Mangum will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last week, Jake Mangum has averaged an impressive 97.2-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential.