Philadelphia @ St. Louis Picks & Props

The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Masyn Winn has notched a .275 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 75th percentile, Masyn Winn has notched a .264 batting average since the start of last season.

The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team playing today. Pedro Pages will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Placing in the 95th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Pedro Pages demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a crucial ability for achieving a high batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 19th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average ability. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Ranking in the 100th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.95 ft/sec this year, Trea Turner is very fast. Grading out in the 87th percentile, Trea Turner sits with a .352 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season. Checking in at the 96th percentile, Trea Turner has posted a .298 batting average since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Brendan Donovan will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team playing today.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team playing today. Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. As it relates to plate discipline, Nolan Arenado's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.85 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 83rd percentile. In notching a .275 batting average since the start of last season, Nolan Arenado grades out in the 85th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 15.6% rate last season to 21.4% this year. In comparison to his 93.6-mph average last year, Kyle Schwarber's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 98.1 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Alec Bohm has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year's 90.4-mph mark. Alec Bohm's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 45.8% to 54.5%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.299) implies that Alec Bohm has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .272 actual batting average. Alec Bohm has put up a .272 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Willson Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team playing today. Willson Contreras will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alec Burleson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team playing today. Alec Burleson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.340) implies that J.T. Realmuto has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .323 actual wOBA. Utilizing Statcast data, J.T. Realmuto grades out in the 83rd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .274. J.T. Realmuto's 94.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 79th percentile since the start of last season. Ranking in the 90th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.47 ft/sec this year, J.T. Realmuto is remarkably athletic.

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Andre Pallante in today's game. Bryce Harper's launch angle this year (17.8°) is quite a bit higher than his 13.6° figure last season. Sporting a .278 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Bryce Harper has performed in the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (64% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Nick Castellanos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 19.4% to 22.6%. Nick Castellanos has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .257 figure is considerably lower than his .284 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Nick Castellanos's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) has been 113.1 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today. Bryson Stott has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 81st percentile with a 1.89 K/BB rate.

Victor Scott will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Victor Scott will hold that advantage in today's game. Victor Scott has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .251 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .286 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.69 ft/sec this year, Victor Scott is notably toolsy.

Max Kepler is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Max Kepler will have an edge in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Max Kepler has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.4 mph (a reliable metric to assess power), grading out in the 92nd percentile. Max Kepler's 16.3° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in MLB: 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 6th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge in today's game. Since the start of last season, Brandon Marsh has an average exit velocity of 91.5 mph, which ranks among the elite in the league at the 89th percentile. Brandon Marsh ranks in the 83rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (17.7% rate since the start of last season). Brandon Marsh has notched a .336 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 94th percentile.

Thomas Saggese has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Jordan Walker has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.