Houston @ Seattle picks

Logan Gilbert’s swinging strike rate (20.6%) is up nearly six percentage points, and his 40% whiff rate ranks in the 93rd percentile. The biggest difference is the effectiveness of his four-seam fastball, which he’s throwing more frequently (up from 30.8% to 38.9%) to generate more whiffs (up from 19.3% to 30.6%). The difference in his heater is reflected in Stuff+, where it’s graded as a 116 compared to last year’s 98. His splitter, slider, and curveball have always graded out well and remain deadly, and he can combine these with his born-again four-seamer to reach even greater heights in 2025.