St. Louis @ Boston Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage today. Rafael Devers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Triston Casas will have an advantage today. Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Carlos Narvaez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Romy Gonzalez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Miles Mikolas. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Romy Gonzalez will hold that advantage today.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. This year, there has been a decline in Jarren Duran's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.6 ft/sec last year to 28.6 ft/sec currently.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Among every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Brendan Donovan has displayed some bad exit velocity statistics lately, averaging just 90-mph on his flyballs in the last two weeks. Over the last 14 days, Brendan Donovan has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 5.6° angle.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Kristian Campbell will hold that advantage in today's game. Kristian Campbell has been hot lately, compiling a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) in the last week.

The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Ceddanne Rafaela has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.2° figure is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (90th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Masyn Winn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Masyn Winn has been hot lately, notching a 95.2-mph average exit velocity in the last 7 days. Masyn Winn has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .263 BA is quite a bit lower than his .280 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Sean Newcomb will hold the platoon advantage against Victor Scott in today's matchup. Victor Scott has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, lifting balls between 23° and 34° 28.6% of the time in the last 7 days. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Victor Scott has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .243 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .286.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Sean Newcomb will have the handedness advantage over Lars Nootbaar today. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage in today's game. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Alex Bregman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Alex Bregman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Alec Burleson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Batting from the same side that Sean Newcomb throws from, Alec Burleson will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Alec Burleson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (41.7% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game. By putting up a 1.95 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nolan Arenado has demonstrated good plate discipline, placing in the 77th percentile. Nolan Arenado has compiled a .276 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 85th percentile.

The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Pedro Pages has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), ranking in the 97th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Jordan Walker has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the last 7 days — 115.8-mph — which is a good indicator of recent form and raw power. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jordan Walker has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.5 mph (a reliable standard to assess power), ranking in the 98th percentile.

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Willson Contreras has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Willson Contreras has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 69.2% of the time in the past 14 days.

Ivan Herrera has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Luken Baker has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Connor Wong has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.