Arizona @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Ben Rice will have an advantage in today's matchup. Ben Rice will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.313) provides evidence that Ben Rice has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .269 actual wOBA. Since the start of last season, Ben Rice's 15.6% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 95th percentile among his peers.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Ketel Marte has been hot in recent games, posting a a 22.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the past two weeks.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Pavin Smith ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pavin Smith is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Pavin Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Warren in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Pavin Smith has been hot in recent games, notching a a 21.1% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Cody Bellinger usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Corbin Burnes.

Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Geraldo Perdomo has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile with a 1.66 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Paul Goldschmidt has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Paul Goldschmidt will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Paul Goldschmidt has been hot of late, putting up a a 21.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) in the past 7 days.

Alek Thomas's batting average ability is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alek Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Will Warren today. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. When it comes to his batting average, Alek Thomas has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .189 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .249. Alek Thomas's 91.3-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the game since the start of last season: 89th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Austin Wells usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Corbin Burnes. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Austin Wells has displayed impressive power, recording a a 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power). When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Austin Wells has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .315 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .339.

The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Corbin Burnes. Oswaldo Cabrera will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage against Will Warren in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. In the past week, Corbin Carroll's maximum exit velocity (a good proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 110.3-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the league.

Gabriel Moreno's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. In notching a .269 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gabriel Moreno is positioned in the 77th percentile. Posting a 1.27 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Gabriel Moreno has shown good plate discipline, placing in the 98th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Extreme flyball bats like Eugenio Suarez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Will Warren. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Eugenio Suarez is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of New York (#1-worst of the day).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. In the last week's worth of games, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 68.8% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°. Posting a .270 batting average since the start of last season, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. finds himself in the 78th percentile.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Batters such as Aaron Judge with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Corbin Burnes who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Aaron Judge will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Aaron Judge has been hot of late, putting up a a 35% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) over the past two weeks.

Anthony Volpe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .243 figure is a fair amount lower than his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Corbin Burnes. Jasson Dominguez pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage today. In the past 14 days, Jasson Dominguez has averaged an impressive 103.2-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential.

Jake McCarthy's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Jake McCarthy will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Posting a .289 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake McCarthy grades out in the 92nd percentile. Jake McCarthy has compiled a .280 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 87th percentile.