Texas @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 53°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hitting from the same side that Carson Spiers throws from, Marcus Semien will not have the upper hand today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien in today's matchup. Marcus Semien's 87.3-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in baseball since the start of last season: 23rd percentile. Marcus Semien has notched a .256 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 10th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Carson Spiers. Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 7th-weakest among all the teams playing today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Leody Taveras has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .282 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .306.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Wyatt Langford ranks as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #3 park in the league for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wyatt Langford pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 7th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #3 park in the league for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 7th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park profiles as the #3 park in the league for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 7th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Jake Burger has hit one of the hardest balls in the league over the past two weeks — 111.7-mph — which is a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #3 park in the league for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Matt McLain has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the schedule today at 53°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corey Seager today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park profiles as the #3 park in the league for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Spencer Steer will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Spencer Steer has posted a 20.4° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. The 7th-shallowest RF fences among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park. Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Gavin Lux will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #3 park in the league for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Jose Trevino will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. As it relates to plate discipline, Jose Trevino's skill is quite strong, putting up a 1.95 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 81st percentile.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi today. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. TJ Friedl will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #3 park in the league for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Santiago Espinal has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Santiago Espinal will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Blake Dunn's BABIP talent is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park profiles as the #3 park in the league for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Blake Dunn will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Blake Dunn ranks in the 96th percentile with a 22.9° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. Jonah Heim pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 7th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage in today's game. Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jake Fraley will hold that advantage today. Jake Fraley has recorded a .329 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. Joc Pederson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Spiers in today's game. Joc Pederson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. The 7th-shallowest RF fences among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Nathan Eovaldi.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #3 park in the league for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kyle Higashioka pulls a lot of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 7th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Kyle Higashioka has been lifting the ball well of late, putting up a 32.4° launch angle over the last 14 days. Since the start of last season, Kyle Higashioka's 11.1% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #3 park in the league for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Austin Wynns has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Austin Wynns will hold that advantage today. Since the start of last season, Austin Wynns has an average exit velocity of 91.5 mph, which is one of the best in the game at the 90th percentile. Austin Wynns is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (64.3% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. Josh Smith will have the handedness advantage against Carson Spiers in today's game. Josh Smith pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 7th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Josh Smith has put up a .313 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.