Boston @ Texas Picks & Props

The #4 park in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field's CF fences are the 7th-deepest. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Rafael Devers projects as the 19th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's game. Posting a .267 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Rafael Devers finds himself in the 75th percentile. Since the start of last season, Rafael Devers's 13.1% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 90th percentile among his peers.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Triston Casas ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom today. Triston Casas has been hot in recent games, posting a a 23.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the last 14 days. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Triston Casas's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 30% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage over Jacob deGrom today. Over the last 7 days, Wilyer Abreu has posted a 26.3° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile with a 19° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in MLB. With a .320 BABIP since the start of last season, Wilyer Abreu grades out in the 83rd percentile.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Richard Fitts in this game. Leody Taveras will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.306) implies that Leody Taveras has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .282 actual wOBA.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Jarren Duran is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's matchup. Jarren Duran has put up a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 90th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Using Statcast metrics, Jarren Duran grades out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .288.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Richard Fitts throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand today. Joc Pederson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Joc Pederson's 13.1% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) is in the 90th percentile since the start of last season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Wyatt Langford ranks as the 20th-best batter in the majors. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today's game. Wyatt Langford has been hot recently, putting up a a 13.9% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) in the past two weeks' worth of games. Over the last week, Wyatt Langford's maximum exit velocity (a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 110.7-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game.

Ceddanne Rafaela has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits recently, angling balls between -4° and 26° 52.2% of the time over the last 14 days. Ceddanne Rafaela has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.6° figure is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (91st percentile).

Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge today. David Hamilton grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47.6% rate since the start of last season). David Hamilton is very toolsy, ranking in the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.35 ft/sec since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage today. Jake Burger has hit one of the hardest balls in MLB in the past two weeks' worth of games — 111.7-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power. In the past 7 days, Jake Burger has posted a 27° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

Connor Wong's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong has displayed some good exit velocity statistics recently, averaging 101.7-mph on his flyballs in the past week. Connor Wong has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well of late, posting a 27.8° angle on such balls in the past two weeks. Connor Wong has recorded a .342 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. In the past 14 days, Alex Bregman has averaged an impressive 96.2-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential. Alex Bregman has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 25.7% of the time over the past 14 days. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Alex Bregman ranks in the 87th percentile with a 18.2° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's game. Posting a .318 BABIP since the start of last season, Ezequiel Duran has performed in the 79th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last week, Marcus Semien has averaged an impressive 97.1-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Marcus Semien has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .306 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .337.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Adolis Garcia has displayed impressive power, recording a a 20% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power). Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Adolis Garcia has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.1 mph (an advanced metric to study power), placing in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Trevor Story has been hot of late, putting up a a 15.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) in the past two weeks. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Trevor Story ranks in the 86th percentile with a 18.7° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the game. Trevor Story has recorded a .327 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage today. Kyle Higashioka has been lifting the ball well recently, posting a 32.4° launch angle in the last 14 days. Kyle Higashioka's 11.1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 81st percentile since the start of last season. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Kyle Higashioka and his 23.4% rank in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

Kristian Campbell has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.