Pittsburgh @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Yankee Stadium as the 7th-worst venue in the majors for right-handed base hits. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to worse offense. This contest is expected to have the 5th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jared Jones will have the handedness advantage over Gleyber Torres today. From last season to this one, Gleyber Torres's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 92.9 mph to 90 mph.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Batters such as Oneil Cruz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Carlos Rodon who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Oneil Cruz has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 95.5-mph to 98.3-mph over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Andrew McCutchen will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon today. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Andrew McCutchen has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.8% rate last season to 12.3% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Yorke in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nick Yorke will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today. Nick Yorke has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. In the past week, Nick Yorke has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 13.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 9.8°.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage today. Juan Soto has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last year to 20% this year.

Joey Bart is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Joey Bart will have an edge in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. In the last two weeks, Joey Bart has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 25.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.5°. Placing in the 90th percentile, Joey Bart has notched a .346 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Alex Verdugo will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Verdugo's true offensive ability to be a .316, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .031 deviation between that figure and his actual .285 wOBA.

Anthony Rizzo will hold the platoon advantage against Jared Jones in today's matchup. Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Rizzo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Anthony Rizzo has been unlucky this year, notching a .282 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .022 gap.

Jared Triolo's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jared Triolo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Jared Triolo has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Over the past week, Jared Triolo's 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Bryan Reynolds has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Bryan Reynolds has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.8-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 93.8-mph.

Connor Joe will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

Batting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Trent Grisham will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Trent Grisham's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 15.7% to 20.7%. Trent Grisham's 12.1% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) is in the 85th percentile this year. Ranked in the 77th percentile, Trent Grisham has one of the highest average exit velocities in MLB this year (90.1-mph).

Jasson Dominguez's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jasson Dominguez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Jared Jones in today's matchup. Jasson Dominguez pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Jared Jones today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Oswaldo Cabrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to last season, Oswaldo Cabrera has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 37.3% to 43.5% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will have an advantage today. Bryan De La Cruz has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have an edge in today's game. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Carlos Rodon. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Aaron Judge will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Aaron Judge has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 26.9% seasonal rate to 44% in the past 14 days. Aaron Judge has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 96-mph EV.

Austin Wells has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.335) may lead us to conclude that Austin Wells has had some very poor luck this year with his .315 actual wOBA. Austin Wells and his 16.2° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 85th percentile, among the highest in the league this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's game. Anthony Volpe has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .246 mark is a fair amount lower than his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jose Trevino will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Jose Trevino has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.4-mph average to last season's 85.8-mph average. Sporting a 2.02 K/BB rate this year, Jose Trevino has shown favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 81st percentile.