Baltimore @ New York Picks & Props

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.1% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the past week's worth of games.

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #22 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. This matchup is projected to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers. Jordan Westburg will have the handedness advantage against Nestor Cortes today.

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #22 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. This matchup is projected to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers. Ryan Mountcastle will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes today.

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #22 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. This matchup is projected to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers. Zach Eflin will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge in today's matchup.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Eflin today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage today. Juan Soto has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 20.1% this year.

Colton Cowser's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Nestor Cortes will have the handedness advantage against Colton Cowser in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Colton Cowser has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 13.8% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the past week.

Hitting from the same side that Nestor Cortes throws from, Cedric Mullins encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.3° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the league.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Nestor Cortes will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan O'Hearn today. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Ryan O'Hearn has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .325 rate is deflated compared to his .349 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of plate discipline, Ryan O'Hearn's talent is quite strong, sporting a 1.36 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Batting from the same side that Nestor Cortes throws from, Heston Kjerstad faces a tough challenge in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Heston Kjerstad has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 95.9-mph over the past week.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Typically, batters like Anthony Santander who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Nestor Cortes. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. New York's 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Anthony Santander, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Adley Rutschman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Yankees. There has been a significant improvement in Adley Rutschman's launch angle from last year's 12.5° to 18.7° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Zach Eflin. Jasson Dominguez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past 14 days, Jasson Dominguez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96-mph over the course of the season to 104.9-mph of late.

Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. James McCann has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .232 BA is a good deal lower than his .261 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the majors. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Nestor Cortes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gunnar Henderson today. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Gunnar Henderson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 92.8-mph mark.

Batting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Anthony Rizzo will have an advantage in today's game. Anthony Rizzo pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Rizzo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Anthony Rizzo's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.4%. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Rizzo has experienced some negative variance given the .027 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .248 BA is considerably lower than his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Anthony Volpe has compiled a .313 BABIP this year, grading out in the 77th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Austin Wells ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Wells is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup. Austin Wells will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Austin Wells's launch angle of late (28° in the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 17.3° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Gleyber Torres has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage in today's game. Gleyber Torres's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 16.7% on the season to 22.5% over the last 14 days.

Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Ramon Urias has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a key talent for batting average), ranking in the 80th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year. By putting up a .331 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ramon Urias is ranked in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage today. The Barrel% of Giancarlo Stanton has significantly improved, with an increase from 15.8% last year to 20.8% this season. Giancarlo Stanton has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 20.8% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last 7 days.