Toronto @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The #7 stadium in the game for suppressing base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today. Hitting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have a tough matchup today. In today's matchup, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.7% rate (89th percentile). The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today.

The #7 stadium in the game for suppressing base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays. In the last 7 days, Yandy Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 91.9 mph to 84.3 mph. Yandy Diaz's launch angle in recent games (-2.5° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a significant dropoff from his 4.2° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Leo Jimenez has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Considering Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Junior Caminero will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today. Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an edge in today's game. Spencer Horwitz has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Taylor Walls will be at a big disadvantage against Chris Bassitt and his large platoon split today. Taylor Walls will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Among all major league stadiums, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jonathan Aranda will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Among all stadiums, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Compared to his seasonal average of 8.7°, George Springer has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.5° figure in the last 7 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.355) provides evidence that George Springer has suffered from bad luck this year with his .300 actual wOBA.

Addison Barger is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Among all major league stadiums, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz today. Over the past 7 days, Addison Barger's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.6%.

Ben Rortvedt has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Ben Rortvedt will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Dylan Carlson is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Among all stadiums, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Dylan Carlson will be at a big disadvantage against Chris Bassitt and his large platoon split in this game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ernie Clement has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Ernie Clement pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Chris Bassitt will hold the platoon advantage against Christopher Morel in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Bassitt's large platoon split. Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Christopher Morel will hold that advantage today.

Chris Bassitt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Caballero in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Bassitt's large platoon split. Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Caballero will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Joey Loperfido's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Loperfido will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Baz in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Nathan Lukes is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Nathan Lukes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Baz today. Nathan Lukes has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Nathan Lukes has had a particularly strong THE BAT X Spray Score in the last 7 days, which measures a batter's ability to hit the ball to all fields.

Tyler Heineman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Alejandro Kirk has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 96.3-mph in the last week's worth of games. There has been a significant improvement in Alejandro Kirk's launch angle from last season's 6.2° to 10° this season.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Brandon Lowe will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jonatan Clase pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.