Seattle @ Texas Picks & Props

Globe Life Field grades out as the #29 stadium in the game for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest CF fences among all major league stadiums. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Emerson Hancock will hold the platoon advantage over Marcus Semien in today's game. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, falling from 43.8% on the season to 26.7% over the last 7 days.

Globe Life Field grades out as the #29 stadium in the game for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest CF fences among all major league stadiums. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Hitting from the same side that Emerson Hancock throws from, Wyatt Langford faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Wyatt Langford has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph dropping to 82.6-mph in the past week.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage over Max Scherzer in today's game. Luke Raley has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.7% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days. Luke Raley has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last season's 94.7-mph EV.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Max Scherzer today. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 46% on the season to 59.3% in the past 14 days. In terms of his batting average, J.P. Crawford has experienced some negative variance this year. His .202 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243. J.P. Crawford has displayed good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 86th percentile with a 1.79 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. In the last two weeks, Randy Arozarena's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 98.1-mph in recent games. Over the past week, Randy Arozarena's 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.7%. Randy Arozarena has been unlucky this year, posting a .321 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .341 — a .020 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jorge Polanco has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.3-mph average. Jorge Polanco's launch angle in recent games (27.1° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 18.1° seasonal angle. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.319) suggests that Jorge Polanco has been unlucky this year with his .276 actual wOBA.

Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer in today's matchup. Josh Rojas's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (16.6°) is quite a bit better than his 10.5° mark last season. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.304) implies that Josh Rojas has been unlucky this year with his .288 actual wOBA.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 9th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Leody Taveras will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Leody Taveras has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5.8% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past two weeks. When it comes to his batting average, Leody Taveras has suffered from bad luck this year. His .226 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .259.

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Emerson Hancock today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 9th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Cal Raleigh's launch angle of late (24.5° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 21.3° seasonal angle. Cal Raleigh has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .313 rate is a fair amount lower than his .340 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Julio Rodriguez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 94.5-mph in the past week. Julio Rodriguez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 11.9% to 16.6%. Despite posting a .316 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky given the .044 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .360.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jonathan Ornelas will hold that advantage today.

Josh H. Smith is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Josh H. Smith will have an advantage in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 9th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Josh H. Smith will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 78th percentile, Josh H. Smith sports a .315 BABIP this year.

Victor Robles is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Victor Robles has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph to 94.9-mph over the past week. Victor Robles's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 44.9% on the season to 85.7% over the last week. Grading out in the 95th percentile, Victor Robles has put up a .374 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Checking in at the 98th percentile, Victor Robles has posted a .326 batting average this year.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 9th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Carson Kelly will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Ezequiel Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all the teams on the slate today, the 9th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Ezequiel Duran will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Sporting a .324 BABIP this year, Ezequiel Duran has performed in the 82nd percentile.

Travis Jankowski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 9th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Travis Jankowski will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Travis Jankowski's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (5.1°) is significantly better than his 1.1° angle last year. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Travis Jankowski has had some very poor luck this year. His .232 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .266.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Jonah Heim's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.7%. Jonah Heim has been unlucky this year, notching a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .289 — a .031 deviation.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 9th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Adolis Garcia has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 24.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.1°.

Justin Turner is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Justin Turner has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 4.6% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Justin Turner has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph to 94.3-mph over the past 7 days. Justin Turner's launch angle lately (26.4° in the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 18° seasonal angle. Justin Turner has compiled a .335 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 77th percentile.

Dylan Moore has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.