Detroit @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Matt Vierling has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 14% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Vierling in today's matchup. Matt Vierling has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 7.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past two weeks. Over the last 14 days, Matt Vierling's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.9%.

Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 14.3% on the season to 6.7% in the past week. Despite posting a .384 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has been very fortunate given the .020 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .364.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Colt Keith is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Colt Keith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Trey Sweeney hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Trey Sweeney has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 96.5-mph. In the past 7 days, Trey Sweeney's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.4%.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Parker Meadows hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Parker Meadows and his 20.6% rank in the 90th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Reese Olson throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Riley Greene hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The #8 park in baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Emmanuel Rivera has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Emmanuel Rivera will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Emmanuel Rivera has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 91.2-mph.

Jackson Holliday's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Jackson Holliday will hold the platoon advantage against Reese Olson in today's game.

The #8 park in baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Dillon Dingler will have an advantage in today's game. Dillon Dingler has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Dillon Dingler has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .168 mark is a fair amount lower than his .235 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (90% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage over Reese Olson in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Adley Rutschman pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Reese Olson throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #8 park in baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Wenceel Perez has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 4.7% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days. Wenceel Perez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 95.3-mph in the past week's worth of games.

The #8 park in baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Spencer Torkelson will have an advantage in today's game.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today's game.

Andy Ibanez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The #8 park in baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Andy Ibanez will have the handedness advantage over Cade Povich today. Andy Ibanez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Reese Olson throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Justyn-Henry Malloy is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The #8 park in baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Justyn-Henry Malloy will have an advantage in today's game. This year, Justyn-Henry Malloy's 11.1% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers.