Washington @ Chicago Picks & Props
WAS vs CHC Picks
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WAS vs CHC Consensus Picks
73% picking Chi. Cubs
Total PicksWAS 141, CHC 381
WAS vs CHC Props
Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game. Given Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Nico Hoerner will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game. Nico Hoerner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 87-mph seasonal average has fallen to 83.5-mph over the last two weeks. Over the past 14 days, Nico Hoerner's 5.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.7%.
James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. James Wood is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon today.
Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington
Dylan Crews is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dylan Crews has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .289 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .341 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Cody Bellinger Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Williams today... and the cherry on top, Williams has a large platoon split.
Patrick Wisdom Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Patrick Wisdom pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Patrick Wisdom will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Given Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.
Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Because of Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Michael Busch will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.
Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Trevor Williams) today.
Andres Chaparro Total Hits Props • Washington
Andres Chaparro is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Over the past two weeks, Andres Chaparro's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph recently.
Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In the last 7 days, Jacob Young's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.9% up to 8.3%. In the last 14 days, Jacob Young's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85-mph over the course of the season to 87.1-mph of late.
Drew Millas Total Hits Props • Washington
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Drew Millas will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jameson Taillon. Ranking in the 78th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.4 ft/sec this year, Drew Millas is notably quick.
CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington
CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Joey Gallo Total Hits Props • Washington
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Gallo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Gallo can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Joey Gallo has been unlucky this year, compiling a .265 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .038 discrepancy.
Jose Tena Total Hits Props • Washington
Jose Tena's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Tena is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jose Tena will hold the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's game.
Miguel Amaya Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.6-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Miguel Amaya will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Miguel Amaya's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 14.4% on the season to 27.8% over the past 14 days.
Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Isaac Paredes is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (46.5% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.
Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Jameson Taillon. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle this year (20.1°) is a significant increase over his 15.1° mark last season. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle in recent games (24° over the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 20.1° seasonal angle.
Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington
Luis Garcia is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. Luis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Luis Garcia's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (0.1° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably lower than his 12° seasonal figure.
Darren Baker Total Hits Props • Washington
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Darren Baker will have the upper hand today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Darren Baker can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Christian Bethancourt Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Christian Bethancourt will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
WAS vs CHC Trends
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 36 games (+39.60 Units / 110% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 36 games (+36.00 Units / 75% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 145 games (+9.85 Units / 5% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 away games (+9.60 Units / 15% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 43 away games (+6.65 Units / 14% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 53 away games (-15.45 Units / -24% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 80 games (-12.85 Units / -15% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 109 games (-12.15 Units / -10% ROI)
Chicago Trends
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games at home (+15.05 Units / 22% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+12.20 Units / 23% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 66 games (+10.32 Units / 12% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+9.31 Units / 18% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.55 Units / 24% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 124 games (-29.80 Units / -18% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 67 games at home (-24.20 Units / -30% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 48 games (-17.95 Units / -31% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 48 games (-16.97 Units / -32% ROI)
WAS vs CHC Top User Picks
Washington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||
Chi. Cubs Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | nbahoops | 8-1-1 | +25230 |
| 2 | unique11 | 7-2-1 | +19730 |
| 3 | fleterod | 6-3-1 | +18835 |
| 4 | J_T | 6-4-0 | +17030 |
| 5 | 2YELLOWDOGS | 5-4-1 | +16680 |
| 6 | HOLLANDANDITALY | 7-3-0 | +16225 |
| 7 | teslaxyz | 3-6-1 | +15740 |
| 8 | witt297 | 6-3-1 | +15460 |
| 9 | ggtra333 | 8-1-1 | +15325 |
| 10 | DoctorNo | 5-4-1 | +15070 |
| All Cubs Money Leaders | |||