Miami @ Colorado Picks & Props
MIA vs COL Picks
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MIA vs COL Consensus Picks
67% picking Colorado
Total PicksMIA 110, COL 221
68% picking Miami vs Colorado to go Over
Total PicksMIA 166, COL 77
MIA vs COL Props
Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami
16% of the time that Connor Norby has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 7th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Ryan Feltner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Norby in today's game. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of every team playing today. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Connor Norby in today's game.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 7th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Batting from the same side that Ryan Feltner throws from, Otto Lopez will have a tough matchup in today's game. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of every team playing today. Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Otto Lopez ranks in just the 3rd percentile with a 4.6° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in MLB.
Jonah Bride Total Hits Props • Miami
The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 7th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Ryan Feltner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonah Bride in today's game. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of every team playing today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonah Bride in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Jonah Bride's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 91.2 mph to 82.6 mph.
Jesús Sánchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 7th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of every team playing today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jesus Sanchez today. Posting a 3.92 K/BB rate this year, Jesus Sanchez has displayed weak plate discipline, ranking in the 18th percentile.
Jake Cave Total Hits Props • Colorado
11% of the time that Jake Cave has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 7th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Jake Cave's average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 89.3-mph EV last season has lowered to 87.3-mph. There has been a significant decline in Jake Cave's launch angle from last season's 15.1° to 6.4° this year. Jake Cave has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .304 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .274 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ezequiel Tovar Total Hits Props • Colorado
The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Edward Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage over Ezequiel Tovar today. Ezequiel Tovar's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 93.2-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 86.6-mph in the last 14 days. Ezequiel Tovar has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .319 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .278 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. When it comes to plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar's skill is quite weak, putting up a 9.74 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 0th percentile.
Brendan Rodgers Total Hits Props • Colorado
The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 7th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Batting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Brendan Rodgers meets a tough challenge in today's game. In the past week, Brendan Rodgers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%. Brendan Rodgers's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 89.9-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 81.7-mph over the past week. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 19.7% to 10.8%.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 7th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Ryan Feltner will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Burger in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of every team playing today. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Burger in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Jake Burger's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13% down to 6.7%.
Aaron Schunk Total Hits Props • Colorado
Coors Field grades out as the #1 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 12th-weakest out of every team today. Aaron Schunk will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera today.
Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Feltner in today's game. Kyle Stowers will probably have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP. Kyle Stowers has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .236 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .296 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Vidal Brujan Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Vidal Brujan will get to bat from his strong side against Ryan Feltner in today's matchup. Vidal Brujan has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 85.1-mph EV. In the last week, Vidal Brujan's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.8%.
Charlie Blackmon Total Hits Props • Colorado
Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Charlie Blackmon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Charlie Blackmon stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado
The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 7th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Batting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Brenton Doyle will have a tough challenge today. In the past two weeks, Brenton Doyle's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.3% down to 5.9%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brenton Doyle's true offensive ability to be a .300, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .040 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .340 wOBA.
Derek Hill Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Coors Field grades out as the #1 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. In the past 14 days, Derek Hill's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 51.3%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.249) implies that Derek Hill has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .220 actual batting average.
Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Colorado
Nolan Jones's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Nolan Jones will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's matchup. Nolan Jones has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.
Michael Toglia Total Hits Props • Colorado
Michael Toglia is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 12th-weakest out of every team today. Michael Toglia will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Sam Hilliard Total Hits Props • Colorado
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Sam Hilliard will have an edge today. Sam Hilliard will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 12th-weakest out of every team today.
Jordan Beck Total Hits Props • Colorado
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Coors Field grades out as the #1 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 12th-weakest out of every team today. Jordan Beck will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami
Coors Field grades out as the #1 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Despite posting a .235 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has experienced some negative variance given the .035 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .270.
Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Colorado
Jacob Stallings has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Coors Field grades out as the #1 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 12th-weakest out of every team today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage today.
Ali Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
Ali Sanchez has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
MIA vs COL Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 38 games (+21.15 Units / 44% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+14.70 Units / 28% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 58 away games (+16.15 Units / 24% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 games (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+7.75 Units / 52% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 130 games (-31.96 Units / -19% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 129 games (-28.20 Units / -19% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 38 games (-25.70 Units / -60% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 103 games (-25.10 Units / -22% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 60 away games (-22.95 Units / -33% ROI)
Colorado Trends
The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games at home (+11.65 Units / 26% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have hit the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.70 Units / 31% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.70 Units / 20% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games at home (+5.65 Units / 12% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 68 games (-16.60 Units / -20% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 75 games (-14.40 Units / -17% ROI)
MIA vs COL Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||
Colorado Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | doomsday07 | 7-2-1 | +28415 |
| 2 | leafs126 | 8-2-0 | +28005 |
| 3 | adgadg222 | 8-2-0 | +26815 |
| 4 | lusvegasluva | 4-6-0 | +23010 |
| 5 | Dogface253 | 7-2-1 | +22855 |
| 6 | moneyformo | 7-3-0 | +21495 |
| 7 | ND21 | 9-1-0 | +21105 |
| 8 | Hoosier | 7-2-1 | +20260 |
| 9 | fishercz | 8-1-1 | +19955 |
| 10 | simoncald | 9-1-0 | +19655 |
| All Rockies Money Leaders | |||