Texas @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team today. Jarren Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 14.1% on the season to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Despite posting a .362 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has been lucky given the .027 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Marcus Semien will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's game. Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 21.1% to 15.7%.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Josh Smith will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Josh Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best batter in the majors. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jonah Heim pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

David Hamilton has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Among every team today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Among every team today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung as the 17th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Dominic Smith will have an advantage today. Dominic Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nick Sogard pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Nick Sogard's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 68.8% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Connor Wong is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Mahle in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.