Cincinnati @ Miami Picks & Props
CIN vs MIA Picks
MLB PicksCheck out all baseball picks and predictions
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
CIN vs MIA Consensus Picks
70% picking Cincinnati
Total PicksCIN 392, MIA 167
70% picking Cincinnati vs Miami to go Over
Total PicksCIN 236, MIA 99
CIN vs MIA Props
Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for left-handed base hits. Kyle Stowers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage today. Kyle Stowers has been hot lately, posting a 93.4-mph average exit velocity over the past week.
Jesús Sánchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for left-handed base hits. Out of every team on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage today.
David Hensley Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, David Hensley will have an advantage today. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. David Hensley will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. David Hensley has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .192 rate is a fair amount lower than his .249 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. Ranking in the 96th percentile, the hardest ball Noelvi Marte has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.6 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.
Ali Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. LoanDepot Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Ali Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ali Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game.
Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Nick Lodolo. Out of every team on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.
Cristian Pache Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. Cristian Pache will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Cristian Pache will hold that advantage today. Cristian Pache has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 27.84 ft/sec to 28.34 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).
Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. Spencer Steer's launch angle lately (23° in the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 16.3° seasonal figure. Posting a 2.07 K/BB rate this year, Spencer Steer has displayed impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 75th percentile.
Ty France Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. LoanDepot Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums.
Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for left-handed base hits. Jeimer Candelario has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.1-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 92-mph. Over the past 7 days, Jeimer Candelario's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.2%.
Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for left-handed base hits. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side against Max Meyer today. Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. Jonathan India has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 88.6-mph. In the last 7 days, Jonathan India's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%.
Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. Tyler Stephenson has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 96.8-mph in the last week's worth of games. Tyler Stephenson's launch angle lately (28° in the last week's worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 9.4° seasonal figure.
TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
T.J. Friedl is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for left-handed base hits. T.J. Friedl will have the handedness advantage over Max Meyer in today's matchup. T.J. Friedl will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. T.J. Friedl's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 18.6% to 22.8%.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Jake Burger will have an advantage in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Otto Lopez will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.
Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Miami
Emmanuel Rivera has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Emmanuel Rivera will have an advantage in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Emmanuel Rivera will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Jonah Bride Total Hits Props • Miami
Jonah Bride is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. LoanDepot Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Jonah Bride will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.
Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for left-handed base hits. Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage over Max Meyer in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Fraley has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Over the past 14 days, Jake Fraley's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.6-mph over the course of the season to 93.7-mph of late. Over the past two weeks, Jake Fraley's 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.7%.
CIN vs MIA Trends
Cincinnati Trends
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 96 games (+10.85 Units / 10% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Run Line in 25 of their last 38 away games (+7.75 Units / 14% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 97 games (+7.40 Units / 6% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 away games (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 33% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 96 games (-21.10 Units / -20% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 97 games (-20.95 Units / -19% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 2 of their last 7 games (-3.95 Units / -46% ROI)
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 51 games at home (+17.60 Units / 31% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.45 Units / 40% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+8.40 Units / 47% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+8.05 Units / 45% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+7.65 Units / 6% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 112 games (-30.70 Units / -24% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 57 games at home (-26.30 Units / -42% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 113 games (-23.86 Units / -16% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 108 games (-22.00 Units / -17% ROI)
CIN vs MIA Top User Picks
Cincinnati Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLBFan8848 | 4-6-0 | +16975 |
| 2 | samua | 4-6-0 | +16620 |
| 3 | theSleeper | 5-5-0 | +15590 |
| 4 | sprtnt1 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 8-1-1 | +13865 |
| 6 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13531 |
| 7 | ASDFJKL123 | 5-4-1 | +13198 |
| 8 | stranger28 | 8-2-0 | +13139 |
| 9 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +13060 |
| 10 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 6-4-0 | +12725 |
| All Reds Money Leaders | |||
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||