Toronto @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Spencer Horwitz's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 venue in MLB for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an edge in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 venue in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Davis Schneider has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.4-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89-mph mark. Despite posting a .304 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Davis Schneider has had some very poor luck given the .023 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 venue in MLB for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the majors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Addison Barger will have an advantage today.

Today, Gunnar Henderson is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (79th percentile). Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Toronto Blue Jays. In the past 14 days, Gunnar Henderson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.8% down to 0%. Over the last 14 days, Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 95.7 mph to 85.9 mph. Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 13.1% on the season to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. George Springer is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 venue in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.285) suggests that George Springer has had some very poor luck this year with his .227 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 venue in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Ernie Clement has put up a .275 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ernie Clement has compiled a .274 batting average this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 venue in MLB for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage today. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Colton Cowser is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 venue in MLB for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt today.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average talent is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 venue in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Alejandro Kirk has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 venue in MLB for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Steward Berroa pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Steward Berroa has been hot lately, putting up a 96.1-mph average exit velocity over the last 7 days.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 venue in MLB for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Santander will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Corbin Burnes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle in recent games (-1.7° in the last week's worth of games) is considerably lower than his 6.2° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 venue in MLB for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the majors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 venue in MLB for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the majors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 venue in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage in today's game. Jordan Westburg has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.5% rate last season to 11.8% this season.

Ryan Mountcastle's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 venue in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ryan Mountcastle will hold that advantage today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 venue in MLB for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Cedric Mullins II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins II will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 venue in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Ramon Urias has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to plate discipline, Ramon Urias's talent is quite strong, putting up a 2.15 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 76th percentile.

Connor Norby's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 venue in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 81°. Connor Norby will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Connor Norby has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 93.2-mph.

Kevin Kiermaier has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.