New York @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Juan Soto in today's game. Despite posting a .436 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Juan Soto has been very fortunate given the .030 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .406.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive skill to be a .337, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .029 disparity between that mark and his actual .366 wOBA.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Kutter Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge today. Typically, hitters like Aaron Judge who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Kutter Crawford.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Rice in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed BABIP. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park. Benjamin Rice will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Verdugo today. Alex Verdugo's 90.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to measure power) ranks in the 23rd percentile this year.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Extreme groundball batters like Masataka Yoshida tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best batter in baseball. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Stroman today. Rafael Devers has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #6 park in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Fenway Park ranks as the #6 park in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 80th percentile, Connor Wong sports a .345 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Connor Wong has recorded a .349 BABIP this year, grading out in the 94th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Fenway Park ranks as the #6 park in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like DJ LeMahieu usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kutter Crawford. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Marcus Stroman today. Wilyer Abreu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Fenway Park ranks as the #6 park in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Tyler O'Neill pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Tyler O'Neill will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman in today's game. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Dominic Smith has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph mark.

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park ranks as the #6 park in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed BABIP. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park. David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage over Marcus Stroman in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past 14 days, David Hamilton's 63.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed BABIP. The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Kutter Crawford. Oswaldo Cabrera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Trent Grisham will have an advantage in today's game. Trent Grisham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today. Trent Grisham has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.2-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Fenway Park ranks as the #6 park in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Anthony Volpe has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.269) implies that Anthony Volpe has suffered from bad luck this year with his .251 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Austin Wells has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed BABIP. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park. Austin Wells will have the handedness advantage over Kutter Crawford in today's game.