Baltimore @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Jonah Bride will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jonah Bride has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .235 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .297.

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Roddery Munoz will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Westburg in today's game. Jordan Westburg will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In terms of plate discipline, Jordan Westburg's talent is quite poor, sporting a 4.27 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 16th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jake Burger will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Jake Burger's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.8% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gordon in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for lefty BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Nick Gordon will have an edge in today's matchup. Nick Gordon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Nick Gordon will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Today, Gunnar Henderson is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (76th percentile). Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gunnar Henderson today. In the last week, Gunnar Henderson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.6% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for lefty BABIP. Josh Bell will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the last week, Josh Bell's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Extreme groundball batters like Ramon Urias usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Roddery Munoz. When it comes to plate discipline, Ramon Urias's skill is quite impressive, sporting a 2.08 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 77th percentile. By putting up a .325 BABIP since the start of last season, Ramon Urias has performed in the 86th percentile.

Bryan De La Cruz's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage today. Bryan De La Cruz has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.9-mph average to last season's 92.4-mph mark.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Emmanuel Rivera will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Emmanuel Rivera has been unlucky this year. His .258 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .299.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.312) provides evidence that Otto Lopez has experienced some negative variance this year with his .272 actual wOBA.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Nick Fortes will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Despite posting a .208 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has experienced some negative variance given the .062 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .270.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Xavier Edwards has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for lefty BABIP. Xavier Edwards hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's game.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). James McCann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 16th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. James McCann has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .252 figure is a good deal lower than his .323 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for lefty BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage today.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Out of all the teams today, the 16th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Austin Hays has posted a .336 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 90th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for lefty BABIP. There has been a significant improvement in Adley Rutschman's launch angle from last season's 12.5° to 18.1° this year. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.1°, Adley Rutschman has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 33.8° angle in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 venue in the league for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Out of all the teams today, the 16th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. In the last week, Ryan Mountcastle's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for lefty BABIP. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Roddery Munoz in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 16th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for lefty BABIP. Cedric Mullins II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Roddery Munoz in today's game. Cedric Mullins II has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week's worth of games. Cedric Mullins II's launch angle recently (32° in the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 23.6° seasonal figure. Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cedric Mullins II has had bad variance on his side given the .036 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for lefty BABIP. Out of all the teams today, the 16th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Miami's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Anthony Santander, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Anthony Santander has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.2% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 16th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for lefty BABIP. Hitting from the opposite that Roddery Munoz throws from, Colton Cowser will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 16th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Over the last week, Colton Cowser's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.2%.