Milwaukee @ Chicago Picks & Props

Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Brice Turang's average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 87.8-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 81.4-mph over the past 14 days. Brice Turang's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (2.9°) is quite a bit lower than his 10.2° mark last year. Brice Turang has been lucky this year, notching a .315 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 — a .024 disparity.

Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs. Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Christian Yelich has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.4% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the last 14 days. Christian Yelich's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 91.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 85-mph in the last two weeks. Christian Yelich's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 12.3% on the season to 18.8% over the past two weeks.

Javier Assad will hold the platoon advantage over William Contreras in today's matchup. In today's game, William Contreras is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.5% rate (86th percentile). Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for William Contreras in today's game. William Contreras's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 96.7-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 94-mph in the last two weeks.

Batting from the same side that Tobias Myers throws from, Nico Hoerner has a tough challenge in today's game. Nico Hoerner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers. In the last two weeks, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 88.5 mph to 80.5 mph. Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.3°, Nico Hoerner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.1°) in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Garrett Mitchell will hold the platoon advantage over Javier Assad in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Garrett Mitchell can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Garrett Mitchell has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Tobias Myers. Ian Happ will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Christopher Morel will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Pete Crow-Armstrong's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Pete Crow-Armstrong has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.2% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last two weeks.

Michael Busch is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Michael Busch will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tobias Myers in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage today. In the last week's worth of games, Michael Busch's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.5% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Dansby Swanson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.6-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph in recent games.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Miles Mastrobuoni will hold the platoon advantage against Tobias Myers in today's matchup. Miles Mastrobuoni has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Miles Mastrobuoni will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Miles Mastrobuoni has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .228 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .264.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Willy Adames pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Willy Adames has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 14 days.

Sal Frelick's batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Sal Frelick stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Jackson Chourio's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Jackson Chourio has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 91.4-mph over the past two weeks.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Miguel Amaya will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) suggests that Miguel Amaya has experienced some negative variance this year with his .217 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Rhys Hoskins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Rhys Hoskins has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 95.5-mph. Over the last 14 days, Rhys Hoskins has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 35.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.9°.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Mike Tauchman ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mike Tauchman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Mike Tauchman will have the handedness advantage over Tobias Myers in today's matchup. Mike Tauchman has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.