NYM -130 o9.0
BAL +120 u9.0
CHC -113 o9.5
MIN +104 u9.5
NYM -159 o10.0
BAL +146 u10.0
MIA +149 o9.5
CIN -163 u9.5
SEA -103 o9.0
NYY -105 u9.0
TB +101 o9.5
BOS -109 u9.5
CLE -125 o8.5
CHW +115 u8.5
WAS +127 o9.0
STL -138 u9.0
ATL -157 o10.0
ATH +144 u10.0
TEX -100 o10.0
LAA -108 u10.0
AZ -114 o8.5
SD +105 u8.5
FOX

Boston @ Los Angeles props

Dodger Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

James Outman
J. Outman
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. James Outman will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball batters like James Outman tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

James Outman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. James Outman will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball batters like James Outman tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

Chris Taylor Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Chris Taylor
C. Taylor
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Chris Taylor will hold that advantage today.

Chris Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Chris Taylor will hold that advantage today.

Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Teoscar Hernandez
T. Hernandez
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

Teoscar Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Gavin Lux
G. Lux
second base 2B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Gavin Lux will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

Gavin Lux

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Gavin Lux will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Miguel Rojas
M. Rojas
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. Miguel Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast data, Miguel Rojas is in the 76th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .267.

Miguel Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. Miguel Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast data, Miguel Rojas is in the 76th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .267.

Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Freddie Freeman
F. Freeman
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Over the last week, Freddie Freeman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 0%. Over the last 7 days, Freddie Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 91.9 mph to 83.5 mph.

Freddie Freeman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Over the last week, Freddie Freeman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 0%. Over the last 7 days, Freddie Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 91.9 mph to 83.5 mph.

Andy Pages Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Andy Pages
A. Pages
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Andy Pages is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Extreme groundball bats like Andy Pages usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Andy Pages

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Andy Pages is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Extreme groundball bats like Andy Pages usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Shohei Ohtani Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Shohei Ohtani
S. Ohtani
designated hitter DH • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #2 field in the game for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences among all major league parks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Shohei Ohtani's true offensive talent to be a .401, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .027 gap between that mark and his actual .428 wOBA. Boston's 92.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #6 offense in MLB this year by this stat.

Shohei Ohtani

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The #2 field in the game for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences among all major league parks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Shohei Ohtani's true offensive talent to be a .401, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .027 gap between that mark and his actual .428 wOBA. Boston's 92.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #6 offense in MLB this year by this stat.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast