Baltimore @ Texas Picks & Props

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of plate discipline, Nathaniel Lowe's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.96 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 77th percentile. Grading out in the 80th percentile, Nathaniel Lowe has notched a .326 BABIP this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 9th-best batter in the majors. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Corey Seager will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to last year, Corey Seager has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.7% to 20.1% this season.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage today. Adolis Garcia has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.4-mph average. In the past week, Adolis Garcia's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.4%.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Josh Smith ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last week, Josh Smith's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.6% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) provides evidence that Wyatt Langford has had bad variance on his side this year with his .303 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Marcus Semien will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 41.9% to 47.3%. In the past 7 days, Marcus Semien's 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.3%.

Jonah Heim will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jonah Heim's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (25° over the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 12.2° seasonal angle.

Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Travis Jankowski will have an edge today. Travis Jankowski will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Last year, Travis Jankowski had an average launch angle of 1.1° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 5.7°. Travis Jankowski has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .234 mark is deflated compared to his .274 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 1.74 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Travis Jankowski has shown strong plate discipline, ranking in the 87th percentile.

Leody Taveras's batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Leody Taveras has had some very poor luck this year. His .281 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .315.

Derek Hill has not yet played a game this season.