Los Angeles @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The #7 field in the game for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to worse offense. Bryce Harper has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .402 figure is a fair amount higher than his .368 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 89°. Batting from the opposite that Anthony Banda throws from, Garrett Stubbs will have the upper hand in today's game. Garrett Stubbs will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Garrett Stubbs's 20.8° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in baseball: 94th percentile.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #24 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to worse offense. Batting from the same side that Anthony Banda throws from, Trea Turner will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.279) implies that Trea Turner has had some very good luck this year with his .345 actual batting average.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #24 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to worse offense. Anthony Banda will have the handedness advantage against Alec Bohm in today's game. Despite posting a .351 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has been lucky given the .025 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 89°. Batting from the opposite that Anthony Banda throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge in today's game. Brandon Marsh has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The #7 field in the game for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to worse offense. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Freddie Freeman in today's game. In the last week, Freddie Freeman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.1% down to 0%. Over the last week, Freddie Freeman's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 20.5%.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 89°. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Gavin Lux will have an edge in today's game. Despite posting a .243 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gavin Lux has been unlucky given the .059 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 89°. Extreme flyball hitters like Johan Rojas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Anthony Banda. Johan Rojas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Johan Rojas's true offensive skill to be a .276, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .026 disparity between that mark and his actual .250 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 89°. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Anthony Banda today. Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 11th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 89°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 89°. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage today. Nick Castellanos has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.2% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last week.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 89°. Over the last 14 days, Chris Taylor has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 10.1% to 18.8%. Chris Taylor has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 92.1-mph. Chris Taylor has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .243 figure is a good deal lower than his .287 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 89°. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, James Outman will have the upper hand in today's game. This season, James Outman has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.7 mph compared to last year's 92.4 mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.301) may lead us to conclude that James Outman has been unlucky this year with his .245 actual wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 89°. Miguel Rojas has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 85th percentile with a 1.75 K/BB rate. Miguel Rojas has put up a .278 batting average this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Andy Pages is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 89°.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 89°. Batting from the opposite that Anthony Banda throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand today.

Enrique Hernandez has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Shohei Ohtani has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.